Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10224564564a5f1d2f5d1326fc989dcc641c05f2b7c3a8a9fa498e2cdce513c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 33c | 1,254$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.21 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed No | 3c | 1,088$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 39c | 1,020$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.26 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 22c | 648.57$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.62 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 19c | 518.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 36c | 500$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.54 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…932abacked No | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…ac6ebacked No | 51c | 403.83$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.46 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 48c | 363.4$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.79 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 34c | 356.53$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.56 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 39c | 313.85$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.85 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 55c | 312.38$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.79 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 38c | 298.08$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.62 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x233a…0858backed Yes | 64c | 287.06$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe61b…b4adbacked Yes | 35c | 272.6$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.67 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 36c | 272.59$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.64 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 37c | 266.35$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.18 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 50c | 255.34$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.38 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 35c | 248.41$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.83 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 7c | 236.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 67c | 226.21$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.61 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 66c | 223$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.67 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 35c | 221$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.65 | 539 | 25.6%138 W · 401 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 46c | 214.66$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.54 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 45c | 208.6$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 63c | 200.34$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.18 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 17c | 178.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x54fc…4330backed Yes | 39c | 167.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.55 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 9c | 162.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 66c | 159.69$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 60c | 153.72$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 51c | 145$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 47c | 139.06$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 23c | 133.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 71c | 130.22$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.46 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…78b5backed Yes | 62c | 126.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 161 | 34.2%55 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 29c | 125$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 66c | 118$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 23c | 117.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 65c | 114.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 56c | 112.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 70c | 105.18$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 101$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…4325backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 28c | 96.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 65c | 96.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 63c | 95.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 32c | 95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 32c | 93.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 41c | 93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecc…c745backed No | 49c | 92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 179 | 47.5%85 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 35c | 91.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 32c | 88.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 51c | 81.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c70…34c4backed No | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 168 | 47.6%80 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10d…8f16backed Yes | 35c | 77.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 34c | 74.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 47c | 74.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 40c | 73.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed Yes | 42c | 73.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…4540backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 39c | 66.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 41c | 66.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 48c | 65.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 58c | 65.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…c32abacked Yes | 46c | 61.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 47c | 60.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb1…6644backed Yes | 37c | 60.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 67c | 60.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 45c | 59.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f56…2adcbacked Yes | 46c | 59.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…7c3abacked Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 23c | 58.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 63c | 58.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…aab7backed Yes | 36c | 55.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 62c | 54.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 67c | 53.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 33c | 51.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 41c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ba…1deabacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 251 | 35.1%88 W · 163 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…e027backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 35c | 48.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 70c | 46.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 43c | 45.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a02…7c94backed No | 67c | 44.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bb…e60cbacked No | 67c | 44.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac2…a4fabacked No | 67c | 44.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 65c | 43.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 36c | 42.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…9461backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…c27cbacked Yes | 48c | 41.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 149 | 32.9%49 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on June 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.