Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on April 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d5ae12f3b22fb25cfe1f31c30425ebbed78b479cdbc5613569f46e621724d17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9337…4fc6backed Yes | 0c | 18,013$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed Yes | 38c | 811.46$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.52 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 64c | 247.57$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.06 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…6747backed Yes | 37c | 245.04$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.82 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35cd…36a8backed Yes | 36c | 213.69$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.04 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…e9f9backed Yes | 35c | 209.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63f8…750bbacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe89f…c2c6backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…a1c9backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf821…f546backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4c…0b31backed Yes | 35c | 199.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…120ebacked Yes | 35c | 199.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c87…d952backed Yes | 35c | 199.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42d1…8769backed Yes | 35c | 199.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…b884backed Yes | 35c | 199.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 36c | 164.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked No | 60c | 161.57$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.72 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…8b53backed No | 65c | 119.66$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b7…4834backed Yes | 45c | 105.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 37c | 100.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 40c | 99.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 63c | 98.79$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…eadabacked No | 65c | 97.94$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 165 | 75.8%125 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8af…603bbacked Yes | 39c | 92.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked No | 64c | 89.72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…8b44backed Yes | 37c | 87.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked No | 54c | 86.65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed No | 65c | 84.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 65c | 78.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf8…e39ebacked Yes | 45c | 77.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…0b7ebacked Yes | 37c | 73.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…8e92backed No | 69c | 71.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4701…ca83backed No | 68c | 71.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 36c | 68.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 523 | 22.6%118 W · 405 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked No | 65c | 62.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 36c | 56.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 65c | 54.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 62c | 53.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3361…e18ebacked Yes | 38c | 53.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed No | 65c | 53.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ef…3e88backed Yes | 42c | 52.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 62c | 51.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 64c | 48.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 42c | 46.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…7007backed Yes | 42c | 43.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed Yes | 31c | 42.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 71c | 42.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f3…0b6cbacked No | 58c | 40.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 61c | 39.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0032…e886backed Yes | 36c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 64c | 36.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 30c | 35.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 65c | 35.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked No | 65c | 35.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Yes | 43c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 63c | 31.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed No | 65c | 29.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 70c | 29.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 36c | 29.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x890d…7522backed No | 58c | 27.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf6…c61bbacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 608 | 51.2%311 W · 297 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x871d…a2e9backed No | 65c | 26.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Yes | 54c | 25.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 402 | 42.5%171 W · 231 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…9095backed No | 65c | 25.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 173 | 76.3%132 W · 41 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed No | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…8ea6backed No | 59c | 24.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 188 | 78.2%147 W · 41 L | +19.4wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 65c | 24.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a9…2227backed No | 65c | 23.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 71 | 73.2%52 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…52e8backed No | 65c | 23.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…5c20backed No | 65c | 22.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked No | 65c | 21.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x894b…93ccbacked No | 65c | 20.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 75cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x268e…dfaebacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…3fc9backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed No | 65c | 19.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 91 | 76.9%70 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8063backed No | 65c | 18.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…7825backed No | 64c | 18.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d1…685abacked No | 65c | 17.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…1733backed No | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on April 16?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or below on April 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on April 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on April 16?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on April 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on April 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.