Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa403d8ed5cef795b0aa6d2c964a2ea6416643178cb708de73cd2e8b2f730fa27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof 1win, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 68c | 14,166$9,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,539.2 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed 1win | 33c | 9,104$2,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,988.26 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 1win | 32c | 6,514$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.31 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed PARIVISION | 67c | 4,348$2,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.92 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed PARIVISION | 72c | 3,050$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.12 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed PARIVISION | 67c | 2,511$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.52 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked 1win | 30c | 2,500$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.53 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed 1win | 35c | 2,271$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.96 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked 1win | 25c | 1,780$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.01 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked 1win | 30c | 1,765$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.52 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed PARIVISION | 68c | 1,700$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.99 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked 1win | 33c | 1,674$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.29 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 1,658$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.96 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed PARIVISION | 72c | 1,594$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.22 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked 1win | 31c | 1,556$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.44 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked 1win | 33c | 1,521$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.94 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION | 67c | 1,407$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.32 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 1,336$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.49 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed 1win | 26c | 1,298$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.25 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed 1win | 36c | 1,267$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed 1win | 33c | 898.64$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed 1win | 32c | 896.4$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.85 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 827.68$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.13 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PARIVISION | 56c | 793.87$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.37 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed PARIVISION | 74c | 762.31$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.7 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed 1win | 31c | 750$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed PARIVISION | 71c | 703.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked 1win | 29c | 690$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 1win | 35c | 675.49$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.44 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked 1win | 15c | 645.74$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed 1win | 33c | 612.3$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.06 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe19c…7247backed 1win | 37c | 606.3$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed 1win | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed PARIVISION | 77c | 595.57$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.07 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed 1win | 7c | 549.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked PARIVISION | 69c | 522.22$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.25 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed 1win | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…f476backed PARIVISION | 68c | 453.5$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.09 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed PARIVISION | 68c | 397$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.06 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 389.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.94 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked 1win | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed PARIVISION | 72c | 379.98$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.39 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1win | 30c | 376.69$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.25 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed 1win | 27c | 375.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…c5adbacked 1win | 28c | 356.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed 1win | 33c | 355.46$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed PARIVISION | 78c | 344.94$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed PARIVISION | 72c | 344.47$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.07 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PARIVISION | 72c | 336.76$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.82 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed PARIVISION | 75c | 332.33$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed 1win | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f95…38ffbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 299.99$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 1win | 34c | 293.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 281.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.89 | 173 | 73.4%127 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked 1win | 35c | 250.14$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca78…b3a8backed 1win | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed 1win | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed 1win | 41c | 241.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked 1win | 43c | 232.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.03 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked 1win | 25c | 210$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed 1win | 28c | 203.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 200.43$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked 1win | 33c | 185.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked PARIVISION | 74c | 182.47$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked PARIVISION | 62c | 171.25$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e4…7161backed 1win | 25c | 164.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…706cbacked 1win | 28c | 161.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed 1win | 20c | 152.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked 1win | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked 1win | 24c | 144$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed 1win | 11c | 135.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed PARIVISION | 74c | 134.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked 1win | 22c | 124$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed 1win | 22c | 124$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked 1win | 27c | 117.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 1win | 30c | 104.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 1win | 32c | 103.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed PARIVISION | 77c | 101.36$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 1win | 26c | 101$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed 1win | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed 1win | 41c | 98.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed PARIVISION | 68c | 92.3$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed 1win | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked 1win | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 302 | 55.3%167 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed PARIVISION | 74c | 90.8$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked 1win | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed 1win | 35c | 78.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed 1win | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed 1win | 26c | 74.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed PARIVISION | 68c | 73.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 1win | 31c | 73.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed 1win | 22c | 72.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked 1win | 29c | 70.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed PARIVISION | 70c | 57.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed 1win | 35c | 54.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed PARIVISION | 75c | 53.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 229 | 61.1%140 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…b6d5backed PARIVISION | 65c | 46.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.