Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ba43ae8d8532451bfb51a15a395616c63a5f2db14e8c1e09f58822cb77e3b9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof 1win, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef62…cf76backed 1win | 12c | 27,305$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.59 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked 1win | 2c | 20,227$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.6 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed PARIVISION | 65c | 17,357$11,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,152.45 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked 1win | 33c | 10,453$3,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,422.25 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed 1win | 31c | 8,621$2,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684.52 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed 1win | 33c | 7,656$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.04 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 68c | 7,463$5,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.23 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…366dbacked 1win | 10c | 7,000$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.05 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed PARIVISION | 64c | 6,500$4,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.96 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed 1win | 38c | 5,628$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.46 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked 1win | 14c | 4,125$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.5 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 1win | 32c | 4,067$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.35 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed PARIVISION | 66c | 3,182$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.12 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed 1win | 22c | 2,607$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.98 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 2,495$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.08 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed 1win | 24c | 2,250$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 1win | 8c | 2,146$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.51 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked 1win | 27c | 1,739$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.87 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed PARIVISION | 62c | 1,705$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.29 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PARIVISION | 72c | 1,408$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.68 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION | 73c | 1,406$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.8 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked 1win | 30c | 1,176$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.22 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1win | 30c | 1,078$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.87 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed 1win | 38c | 1,039$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39b6…43d6backed PARIVISION | 78c | 1,022$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 976.18$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.51 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed 1win | 21c | 950$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.72 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed PARIVISION | 63c | 905.01$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.77 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked 1win | 34c | 859.61$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.28 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked PARIVISION | 50c | 851.46$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.73 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…f476backed PARIVISION | 76c | 843.63$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.32 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde2…3fcfbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 825.22$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked 1win | 33c | 800$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 1win | 28c | 791.6$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.58 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 1win | 26c | 733.26$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.44 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed 1win | 42c | 710.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed 1win | 27c | 709.31$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed PARIVISION | 66c | 676.31$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.2 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked 1win | 27c | 670.52$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.04 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed 1win | 26c | 620.91$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.44 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked 1win | 36c | 604.19$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.38 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed 1win | 42c | 596.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked 1win | 29c | 587.1$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.16 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed PARIVISION | 79c | 560.97$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.06 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked 1win | 26c | 493.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.85 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked 1win | 34c | 473.1$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.24 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed PARIVISION | 78c | 462.65$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.78 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x836c…acffbacked 1win | 33c | 459.24$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.68 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 1win | 34c | 453.66$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.55 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed 1win | 24c | 450.4$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.11 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed PARIVISION | 64c | 449.99$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed 1win | 19c | 433.27$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed 1win | 37c | 420$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed PARIVISION | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked PARIVISION | 71c | 369$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.01 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed PARIVISION | 68c | 367.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked PARIVISION | 70c | 365.26$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 360.33$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.07 | 173 | 73.4%127 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 359.37$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.35 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 354.99$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.55 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked 1win | 24c | 342.11$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.11 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed PARIVISION | 75c | 332.33$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.45 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f95…38ffbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 329.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…c5adbacked 1win | 28c | 301.43$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed 1win | 20c | 300.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed 1win | 30c | 283.1$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed 1win | 20c | 263.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked 1win | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed 1win | 20c | 238.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed 1win | 24c | 237.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed PARIVISION | 66c | 235$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed 1win | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed PARIVISION | 79c | 219.68$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 1win | 33c | 208$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 1win | 31c | 206.72$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed 1win | 31c | 196.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed 1win | 37c | 186.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 463 | 54.6%253 W · 210 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed 1win | 27c | 173.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…59e1backed 1win | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked PARIVISION | 72c | 163.72$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed PARIVISION | 72c | 161.18$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed 1win | 31c | 157$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked PARIVISION | 62c | 154.18$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f79…abbbbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed PARIVISION | 70c | 142.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…abedbacked PARIVISION | 68c | 141.21$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked PARIVISION | 62c | 136.85$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed PARIVISION | 64c | 133$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win | 34c | 131.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed 1win | 37c | 124.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed PARIVISION | 71c | 122.18$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed 1win | 37c | 118.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e4…7161backed 1win | 41c | 109.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed PARIVISION | 64c | 105$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed 1win | 43c | 104.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed PARIVISION | 64c | 103.46$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.