Fifa International · resolved market
Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9627f47a030492599fd0db898da8201e8bb347b3b0539f9a68c18e2d67c6aaf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55bd…fbddbacked Yes | 1c | 13,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 1,885$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 202 | 1.5%3 W · 199 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…6dfebacked Yes | 5c | 1,651$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.47 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 9c | 1,514$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.64 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,269$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 20c | 1,137$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.79 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc9…58b7backed Yes | 16c | 986.27$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 21c | 754.7$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.34 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135b…f2f1backed Yes | 23c | 703.56$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…abeabacked Yes | 33c | 444.08$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.55 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe7…ffc9backed Yes | 22c | 405.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.65 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 31c | 399.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…61debacked Yes | 34c | 280.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 267.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6974…f90bbacked Yes | 38c | 264.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 7c | 239.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…b352backed Yes | 16c | 185.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…a2d5backed Yes | 33c | 170$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 9c | 166.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 11c | 156.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd893…5b0ebacked Yes | 21c | 144.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…7ae8backed Yes | 14c | 140.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 67c | 140.07$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a7…3145backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 67c | 135.28$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 11c | 132.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…1823backed Yes | 38c | 130.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 76c | 127.29$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 78c | 124$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 73c | 121.15$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 68c | 120.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1609…25a4backed Yes | 19c | 105.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7d…cb08backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 168 | 47%79 W · 89 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…2a83backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 30c | 99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…982cbacked Yes | 34c | 89.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 75c | 85.65$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 78c | 84.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 16c | 74.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 68c | 73.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 33c | 72.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…5dbcbacked No | 68c | 70.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…78b9backed No | 71c | 69.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -9.0wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…51d5backed Yes | 32c | 67.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a8…9cc7backed Yes | 36c | 55.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 22c | 53.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 68c | 44.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 65c | 32.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 198 | 74.7%148 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?this page
- Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will South Korea be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.