Fifa International · resolved market
Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeccdaad2ffd4174bb81097d32959cafa7de019dde22a7a6398c5e3b13b4caed9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 52c | 2,404$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.1 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 46c | 1,883$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.62 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55bd…fbddbacked Yes | 12c | 1,242$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…61debacked Yes | 62c | 1,120$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 50c | 1,115$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.96 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…0666backed Yes | 54c | 1,046$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.7 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…982cbacked No | 61c | 1,026$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.04 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 48c | 715.22$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.53 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf18…17b5backed Yes | 27c | 686.67$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.77 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 53c | 600$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.13 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 597$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.92 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 37c | 555$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.35 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc9…58b7backed Yes | 54c | 554.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 70c | 530.44$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.73 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 51c | 519.79$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.58 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…9d56backed Yes | 25c | 440.4$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 71c | 427.73$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.71 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 47c | 385.19$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.34 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd694…5335backed Yes | 54c | 365.63$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 77c | 356.99$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.65 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 61c | 324.39$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.11 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Yes | 38c | 323.45$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 53c | 321$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.84 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 317.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44e8…b63fbacked Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6087…61e8backed Yes | 31c | 267.73$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…6cfdbacked Yes | 47c | 250.3$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed No | 53c | 250.01$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 7c | 244.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 54c | 243.78$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.14 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 44c | 216.37$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.77 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e54…fa7cbacked Yes | 56c | 208.08$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 65c | 205$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.7 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked No | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe7…ffc9backed No | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…a249backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 17c | 199.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…4485backed Yes | 6c | 196.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 19cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 28c | 178$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 80c | 168.81$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 37c | 162.48$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…4aacbacked Yes | 15c | 160.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ed…18f6backed Yes | 23c | 160$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 39c | 159.74$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 166 | 46.4%77 W · 89 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 46c | 141.45$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 38c | 140.08$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 17c | 133.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 39c | 125$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 61c | 124$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 31c | 118.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 41c | 117$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 43c | 114.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 74c | 114.18$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6201…d922backed Yes | 18c | 110.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 46c | 109.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.42 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a7…3145backed Yes | 47c | 106.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 50c | 106.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd307…3e90backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 18c | 97.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…5dbcbacked No | 55c | 91.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 25c | 90.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Yes | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1609…25a4backed Yes | 34c | 87.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No | 52c | 85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 45c | 82.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 72c | 81$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 171 | 38%65 W · 106 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef5…c3c8backed Yes | 18c | 79.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 56c | 76.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…600fbacked No | 39c | 72.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 48c | 67.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…36f4backed Yes | 20c | 66.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…6bdabacked Yes | 51c | 60.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 147 | 39.5%58 W · 89 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked Yes | 28c | 57.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…1823backed Yes | 49c | 55.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d0…d8c1backed No | 46c | 52.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…51d5backed Yes | 51c | 52.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 46c | 50.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2d…8b81backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe458…7abebacked Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 79c | 49.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 49c | 48.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…ba06backed Yes | 32c | 46.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 31c | 43.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 50c | 43.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 76c | 43.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 198 | 74.7%148 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…bed6backed No | 43c | 43.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…6f52backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf1…ca82backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 68c | 32.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Yes | 50c | 31.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?this page
- Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will South Korea be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.