MLB · resolved market
KBO: LG Twins vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dec8675cc8c1a0f734dd42529d650eb40b114a3560918980877b074274839c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kiwoom Heroesof LG Twins, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kiwoom Heroes | 79c | 1,007$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.36 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed LG Twins | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked LG Twins | 69c | 542.99$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.67 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…b352backed Kiwoom Heroes | 31c | 523.26$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.26 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked LG Twins | 5c | 493.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.74 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 18c | 450$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kiwoom Heroes | 65c | 440.81$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.74 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…37f1backed LG Twins | 68c | 438.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…6d74backed LG Twins | 25c | 379.76$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.31 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 31c | 299.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed LG Twins | 69c | 294$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.81 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked LG Twins | 11c | 262.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked LG Twins | 67c | 259.64$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.96 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed LG Twins | 13c | 236.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 174.11$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe344…7060backed LG Twins | 12c | 166.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 149.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Kiwoom Heroes | 30c | 129.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.01 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked LG Twins | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2c…f9f2backed LG Twins | 50c | 99.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked LG Twins | 35c | 96.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked LG Twins | 21c | 93.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed LG Twins | 68c | 86.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed LG Twins | 68c | 85.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked LG Twins | 70c | 80.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 31c | 77.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 600 | 39%234 W · 366 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked LG Twins | 70c | 60.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed LG Twins | 19c | 52.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 15.2%16 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Kiwoom Heroes | 76c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1,106 | 79.6%880 W · 226 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 77c | 45.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…9c1bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 44.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 1,828 | 54.1%989 W · 839 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 40.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 67c | 33.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…b959backed Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 31.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +215%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a6…6684backed LG Twins | 62c | 30.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 55 | 81.8%45 W · 10 L | +11.4wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked LG Twins | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Kiwoom Heroes | 74c | 25.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed LG Twins | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Kiwoom Heroes | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kiwoom Heroes | 80c | 14.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.88 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.