MLB · resolved market
KBO: LG Twins vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ca6741d7608f2b408e495d6450bbfb43814481e6add9d1d6c7dd0a1bbcdc785
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof LG Twins, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed LG Twins | 59c | 1,109$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.14 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 813.85$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.84 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 682$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.62 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked LG Twins | 67c | 424.82$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.28 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kiwoom Heroes | 29c | 195.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked LG Twins | 65c | 191.48$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 61c | 187.24$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 28c | 183$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed LG Twins | 57c | 179.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…b352backed Kiwoom Heroes | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 158.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Kiwoom Heroes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 96.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…896cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 85.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed LG Twins | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 76.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed LG Twins | 59c | 60.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 60.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked LG Twins | 61c | 60.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c77…8d9cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 56.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked LG Twins | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed LG Twins | 66c | 51.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 363 | 67.8%246 W · 117 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked LG Twins | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked LG Twins | 58c | 50.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 28c | 50.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked LG Twins | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked LG Twins | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…74ebbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 49.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 414 | 44%182 W · 232 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed LG Twins | 58c | 49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca7…e965backed LG Twins | 58c | 45.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed LG Twins | 77c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 43.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Kiwoom Heroes | 29c | 39.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Kiwoom Heroes | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 30.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed LG Twins | 63c | 25.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LG Twins | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed LG Twins | 70c | 21.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…105cbacked LG Twins | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed LG Twins | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.