TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 16.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,351
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,353

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,351 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xccec…1dfcbacked Yes44c636.36$280 inLost-$2805152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No56c598.36$335 inWon+$263.281,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6e8…ed04backed Yes44c185$81 inLost-$80.556342.9%27 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No56c100$56 inWon+$4495260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked No57c85$48 inWon+$36.5527074.1%200 W · 70 L+30.5wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe15f…93d7backed No56c60$34 inWon+$26.421672.2%156 W · 60 L+28.6wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+22.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x975e…ddf0backed Yes42c47.62$20 inLost-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No59c47$28 inWon+$19.354,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked No60c45.54$27 inWon+$18.332866.5%218 W · 110 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4066…e3c3backed Yes45c33.33$15 inLost-$159031.1%28 W · 62 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No55c33.33$18 inWon+$1590863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf6bb…288cbacked Yes40c32.44$13 inLost-$13560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd44…17b7backed Yes40c25$10 inLost-$101020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed No58c21.06$12 inWon+$8.8589853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.