NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4598474bb540950f2482b0257bb915c1a44832d1dda94895323d9f49871d46ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Trail Blazers, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,221 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 40,442$19,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,007.83 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 40,075$18,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,835.25 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pacers | 54c | 36,807$20,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,751.15 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 36,288$16,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,879.25 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pacers | 53c | 34,666$18,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,293.17 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Pacers | 53c | 29,940$15,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,071.96 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacers | 52c | 10,332$5,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,929.82 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers | 49c | 9,913$4,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,029.9 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Pacers | 53c | 5,995$3,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821.96 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 5,625$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.88 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pacers | 53c | 3,429$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.63 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers | 53c | 2,766$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.57 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 2,381$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.98 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 45c | 2,359$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.66 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 1,725$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.89 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 1,541$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.15 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 1,330$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.08 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 1,186$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.17 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Pacers | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 1,065$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.55 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 988$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.48 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 901$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.44 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pacers | 51c | 867.16$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.66 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 808.81$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.38 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pacers | 54c | 534.59$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.91 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pacers | 51c | 502.94$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.99 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f51…7b9ebacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 35.2%38 W · 70 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 391.22$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.79 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Pacers | 53c | 379.68$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.45 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 367.62$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.93 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pacers | 49c | 359.71$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.29 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1e…8107backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 353.21$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.01 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 330.23$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.95 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pacers | 53c | 320.27$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.3 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 306$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.76 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 277.86$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.59 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Pacers | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 276.92$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.41 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Pacers | 55c | 268$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Pacers | 44c | 260.97$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.97 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 251$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.48 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 228.24$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.27 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 228.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.88 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 212.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…978fbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 200.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Pacers | 48c | 192.83$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Pacers | 52c | 185.29$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.39 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 184$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 236 | 55.5%131 W · 105 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 164.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.76 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…18d6backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 163.1$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.29 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 153$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Pacers | 40c | 145$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9505…fe9cbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 144.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Trail Blazers | 34c | 140$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers | 53c | 130.85$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 124.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 123$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Pacers | 56c | 121.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Pacers | 39c | 120.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.51 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Trail Blazers | 64c | 109.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63ce…dd2ebacked Pacers | 53c | 91.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…ba5fbacked Pacers | 53c | 90.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 88.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dec…058cbacked Pacers | 53c | 87.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 84.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 251 | 53.8%135 W · 116 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…b654backed Pacers | 53c | 82.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Pacers | 52c | 80.45$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 76.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 76.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 74.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…9e20backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 73.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 64.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 63.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 182 | 42.9%78 W · 104 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pacers | 52c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c0…9d61backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 61.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 478 | 52.9%253 W · 225 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 56.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 306 | 54.6%167 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Pacers | 53c | 51.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…0398backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 50.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…4389backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 437 | 50.1%219 W · 218 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…21e8backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 47.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 258 | 55.8%144 W · 114 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Pacers | 53c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Pacers | 44c | 46.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 46.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12a…46a3backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Pacers | 53c | 44.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Pacers | 43c | 44.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x290e…0783backed Pacers | 55c | 43.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 41.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Pacers | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Pacers | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Pacers | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-17.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-18.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. PacersTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 246.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 250.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 252.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 253.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.