NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2212e46526a1ea1610a38b3610906fdb002f29da8b3bcc1e22175565e53f4f27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,249 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Under | 52c | 30,622$15,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,923.31 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 30,175$14,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,687.2 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Under | 52c | 20,000$10,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,449.85 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 15,423$6,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,424.71 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 48c | 9,240$4,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,804.77 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 48c | 7,107$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,707.15 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d9…1608backed Over | 47c | 4,766$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 56c | 4,692$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.1 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5289…b99ebacked Over | 47c | 4,155$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 52c | 4,134$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.82 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 4,043$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.48 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…2428backed Over | 47c | 3,620$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f13…7a8abacked Over | 47c | 3,322$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Under | 56c | 2,929$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.24 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2876…ea9cbacked Under | 53c | 2,236$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd5…36e9backed Under | 53c | 2,169$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc76…ad95backed Under | 53c | 2,163$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…ee81backed Under | 53c | 2,036$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83f…3636backed Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf5…5842backed Under | 53c | 1,911$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad2…1091backed Under | 53c | 1,678$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b1…d373backed Under | 53c | 1,670$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 1,645$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.61 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Under | 54c | 1,448$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Under | 56c | 1,435$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 47c | 1,288$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.72 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Under | 52c | 1,239$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.16 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 52c | 858.81$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.58 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 45c | 805.74$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.16 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 47c | 646.55$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.6 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 551.09$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.53 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 54c | 518.52$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 45c | 470.09$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.55 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Over | 48c | 438$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.76 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 52c | 315.6$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.11 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 312.39$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.58 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 56c | 303$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.32 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Under | 51c | 301.87$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.95 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 47c | 231.29$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.84 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 226.76$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 47c | 217$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.05 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 47c | 209.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.04 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Over | 45c | 144.64$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 144.63$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 46c | 110.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 52c | 103.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Over | 47c | 96.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 51c | 92.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Over | 47c | 83.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 20c | 51.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b92cbacked Under | 52c | 46.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 52c | 37.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 47c | 33.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 54c | 30.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 47c | 29.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…a631backed Under | 54c | 28.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc52e…0a1cbacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ca…0022backed Over | 47c | 28.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…b901backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Over | 47c | 26.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde2…3fcfbacked Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Over | 46c | 22.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 111 | 28.8%32 W · 79 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b0…2704backed Under | 52c | 22.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…bf37backed Under | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-17.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-18.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. PacersTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 246.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 250.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 252.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 253.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.