TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,011

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,011 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x198f…c419backed Over45c12,870$5,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,078.4917249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c8,982$4,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,558.994,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c4,779$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,578.499,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d0…743dbacked Over50c4,700$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3501070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…06f8backed Under50c4,700$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,350862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under50c3,733$1,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.711,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c3,501$1,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836.788,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe6…631fbacked Over46c2,469$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.262100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c7b…d605backed Over46c2,411$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dba…9eb2backed Under54c2,355$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23f7…43b3backed Under54c2,303$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a73…e0b3backed Over46c2,299$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.462100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3314…c7e2backed Under54c2,212$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fa8…e0d9backed Under54c2,155$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over52c2,110$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.263,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8958…3228backed Under54c2,013$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f7b…cd1fbacked Over46c1,988$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa8…1684backed Over46c1,944$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc87…b568backed Under54c1,878$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.12540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…f3ffbacked Over46c1,822$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Under56c1,752$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.529352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0b8…35e6backed Over46c1,744$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe939…b21cbacked Under54c1,736$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Under8c1,679$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.8117233.7%58 W · 114 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…dbf3backed Under54c1,644$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8eea…cb6dbacked Over46c1,636$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5784…6788backed Over47c1,451$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.281323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-52.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c1,364$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.034,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c1,167$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.422,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55033146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under51c995.65$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.9338253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50065349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under59c821$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.396,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Under50c803.4$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.729149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over48c705.33$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.912,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c628.36$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.82,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Over65c589.99$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.520651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under33c576.9$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.262,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over45c405$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.93,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Under52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20032347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under5c384.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.726337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under30c343$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.953149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over46c306$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.2445646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014059.3%83 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over49c281.29$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.7649249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over47c265.34$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.634,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under11c260.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.11,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x087d…d040backed Under55c218$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88eb…0189backed Over46c212$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.088052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ca…0022backed Under51c174.27$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.342166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc30…becfbacked Over45c174$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…e18bbacked Under54c166$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under51c162.46$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8580653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over46c153$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6256547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf833…bed9backed Under54c148$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over70c142.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0818850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf455…fd03backed Under54c125$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ceb…283fbacked Over46c113$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x459c…72e0backed Over46c104$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf09e…93b6backed Over46c102$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Over45c92.59$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9220350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034849.7%173 W · 175 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c85.13$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.573,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0b2f…8e32backed Under55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over46c76.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3134047.1%160 W · 180 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over46c76.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3157250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Under51c75.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0716658.4%97 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Over45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6713155%72 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under55c62$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7968940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over47c61.19$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6158450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over51c60.78$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.781,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under61c56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.161,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x243d…7fa2backed Under55c55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over57c54.7$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.31,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under44c49.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7891846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d5…a8dabacked Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0214144.7%63 W · 78 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Under56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514253.5%76 W · 66 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over48c44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.885,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Over57c40.85$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.567948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under48c40.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.351,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010349.5%51 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Over47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.214443.1%62 W · 82 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under55c39.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3287744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa615…488cbacked Under55c39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Over47c38.13$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2119245.3%87 W · 105 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96b0…b331backed Under55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under56c36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1632747.4%155 W · 172 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under55c35.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4752552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Under46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6511843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Under49c28.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.714931.5%47 W · 102 L-18.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c27.51$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.731,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5dc…0f05backed Over44c23.39$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.15742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under51c23.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8367248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Over49c20.59$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.514355.2%79 W · 64 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over50c20.04$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.021,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1096956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87e3…4f16backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108328.9%24 W · 59 L-14.6wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.