Tennis · resolved market
Kigali 2: Andrej Martin vs Jay Clarke
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf87295f784bbc6f10a236d602310796f6e9aaf14c0a97205ad48ff282db49d63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andrej Martinof Andrej Martin, Jay Clarke
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,260 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jay Clarke | 47c | 2,951$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.04 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Andrej Martin | 72c | 2,261$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Jay Clarke | 30c | 2,088$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.94 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Jay Clarke | 63c | 1,471$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.65 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Andrej Martin | 36c | 1,200$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Jay Clarke | 64c | 1,151$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.48 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Andrej Martin | 67c | 819.39$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.55 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Andrej Martin | 32c | 799.47$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.64 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Jay Clarke | 56c | 731.29$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.53 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Andrej Martin | 59c | 723.08$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.7 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Jay Clarke | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Andrej Martin | 43c | 666.52$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.52 | 991 | 39.9%395 W · 596 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Andrej Martin | 37c | 542.98$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.89 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jay Clarke | 43c | 538.97$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.5 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Andrej Martin | 36c | 524.7$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.81 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Andrej Martin | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…36c9backed Jay Clarke | 59c | 429.42$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.29 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Jay Clarke | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Jay Clarke | 3c | 413.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Andrej Martin | 38c | 375.06$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.35 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Jay Clarke | 21c | 356.19$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Andrej Martin | 36c | 316.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.64 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jay Clarke | 31c | 306.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Andrej Martin | 43c | 301.77$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.41 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x388b…25ddbacked Jay Clarke | 67c | 299.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Andrej Martin | 64c | 288.55$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.78 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Andrej Martin | 36c | 257$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.48 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Andrej Martin | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Andrej Martin | 35c | 230.77$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jay Clarke | 59c | 220.45$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.06 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Jay Clarke | 32c | 211$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Andrej Martin | 42c | 205.67$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf535…e984backed Jay Clarke | 64c | 195.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Andrej Martin | 49c | 191.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.16 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Andrej Martin | 56c | 188.96$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Andrej Martin | 73c | 166.16$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jay Clarke | 31c | 158.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b4…9152backed Jay Clarke | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Jay Clarke | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628a…6d8fbacked Andrej Martin | 66c | 149.35$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Andrej Martin | 69c | 147.65$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Andrej Martin | 36c | 141.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.78 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Andrej Martin | 38c | 131.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.51 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Jay Clarke | 27c | 120.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 329 | 37.4%123 W · 206 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x068a…6fe7backed Jay Clarke | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Jay Clarke | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Jay Clarke | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Jay Clarke | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…717abacked Jay Clarke | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e98…2550backed Andrej Martin | 43c | 84.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Andrej Martin | 37c | 79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…f11bbacked Jay Clarke | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Andrej Martin | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 439 | 51.9%228 W · 211 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…1bd7backed Jay Clarke | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 67.9%74 W · 35 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0e…bb40backed Jay Clarke | 57c | 72.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Jay Clarke | 64c | 71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 900 | 64.3%579 W · 321 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jay Clarke | 59c | 65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Jay Clarke | 32c | 63.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…de42backed Jay Clarke | 63c | 63.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Jay Clarke | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x960c…4a4ebacked Andrej Martin | 35c | 61.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…fb49backed Andrej Martin | 36c | 58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ea…2aacbacked Jay Clarke | 57c | 56.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Andrej Martin | 36c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Andrej Martin | 36c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Andrej Martin | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Andrej Martin | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Jay Clarke | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Andrej Martin | 40c | 46.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Jay Clarke | 47c | 42.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Andrej Martin | 35c | 36.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Jay Clarke | 64c | 35.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Andrej Martin | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 976 | 44.6%435 W · 541 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Andrej Martin | 36c | 31.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d62…df5cbacked Jay Clarke | 63c | 31.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a8…b74ebacked Andrej Martin | 52c | 29.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Andrej Martin | 36c | 28.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 308 | 53.6%165 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Jay Clarke | 62c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked Jay Clarke | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Andrej Martin | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Jay Clarke | 68c | 23.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Jay Clarke | 68c | 23.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…ae93backed Jay Clarke | 61c | 21.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Jay Clarke | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Jay Clarke | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…919cbacked Andrej Martin | 76c | 17.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0b…f954backed Andrej Martin | 71c | 15.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Andrej Martin | 76c | 15.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4547…ac9bbacked Andrej Martin | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Andrej Martin | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kigali 2: Andrej Martin vs Jay Clarkethis page
- Martin vs. Clarke: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Martin vs ClarkeMartin won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.