Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Creighton Bluejays vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 133.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92833602974edafac16c6dd094a9724def640c5235a4eb67681d2f3261bdb33d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,995 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 53c | 2,209$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.51 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 53c | 2,139$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.95 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 50c | 990.69$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.07 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 848.27$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.9 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 51c | 807.87$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.92 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 645.05$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.29 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 47c | 499.12$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.59 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Over | 46c | 359.87$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.54 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 208.75$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.57 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 54c | 204.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.67 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 47c | 199.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 51c | 180.44$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.71 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 51c | 148.69$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.83 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 139.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 59c | 121$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 58c | 105.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 46c | 99.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 55c | 90.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 86.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Over | 46c | 86.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Under | 46c | 75.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 58c | 62.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 46c | 61.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 42c | 43.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Under | 48c | 34.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 51c | 32.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…d03abacked Over | 47c | 30.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…f137backed Over | 53c | 28.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Over | 51c | 24.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 47c | 21.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x960c…4a4ebacked Under | 51c | 21.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Over | 56c | 19.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 133.5this page
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Seton Hall PiratesSeton Hall Pirates won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 132.5Over won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 134.5Under won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 136.5Under won
- Spread: Seton Hall Pirates (-2.5)Seton Hall Pirates won
- Spread: Seton Hall Pirates (-3.5)Seton Hall Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.