Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Seton Hall Pirates (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14ab8d54c4930e7437f9ff68c29889bea9b54c57909bdf74a4327022b09fcf77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seton Hall Piratesof Seton Hall Pirates, Creighton Bluejays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Creighton Bluejays | 47c | 3,095$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.51 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Seton Hall Pirates | 53c | 2,617$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.86 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Seton Hall Pirates | 53c | 825$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.05 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 54c | 518.02$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.29 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Creighton Bluejays | 48c | 492.62$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.42 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seton Hall Pirates | 53c | 365.77$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.24 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Creighton Bluejays | 42c | 315.14$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.59 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Creighton Bluejays | 47c | 210.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Creighton Bluejays | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 62c | 199.37$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.96 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Seton Hall Pirates | 54c | 195.61$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.98 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Seton Hall Pirates | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Creighton Bluejays | 45c | 184.21$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.73 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Creighton Bluejays | 45c | 175.78$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Creighton Bluejays | 47c | 169.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.62 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Creighton Bluejays | 47c | 130.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.31 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Creighton Bluejays | 44c | 128.76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Seton Hall Pirates | 59c | 124.37$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Creighton Bluejays | 44c | 123.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Seton Hall Pirates | 53c | 118.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Creighton Bluejays | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Seton Hall Pirates | 61c | 78.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Creighton Bluejays | 43c | 49.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 57c | 44.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Creighton Bluejays | 46c | 42.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Creighton Bluejays | 46c | 41.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Seton Hall Pirates | 58c | 40.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Seton Hall Pirates | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 58c | 39.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 48c | 39.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Creighton Bluejays | 38c | 38.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Seton Hall Pirates | 56c | 27.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Seton Hall Pirates | 54c | 26.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Creighton Bluejays | 47c | 25.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Creighton Bluejays | 50c | 23.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seton Hall Pirates (-2.5)this page
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Seton Hall PiratesSeton Hall Pirates won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 132.5Over won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 133.5Under won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 134.5Under won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 136.5Under won
- Spread: Seton Hall Pirates (-3.5)Seton Hall Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.