NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc478850520fb52a8ac23aeaf34729b907fbe051c0340a5859821d758b5ecce28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,422 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 56c | 2,440$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 1,982$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.78 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 54c | 1,783$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.01 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Over | 46c | 1,560$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.6 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Over | 46c | 1,539$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 58c | 1,120$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.28 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed Under | 73c | 1,101$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.96 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 1,035$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.25 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 47c | 1,000$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.95 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Over | 46c | 767$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.82 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 67c | 746$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.82 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 56c | 602.31$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.96 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Under | 37c | 584.5$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.52 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 44c | 570.61$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.42 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 564.79$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.28 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 51c | 536.9$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.53 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 54c | 501$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.46 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 56c | 313.59$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.98 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2709…b1f1backed Under | 56c | 311$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a16…ddddbacked Under | 56c | 310$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c7…2148backed Under | 56c | 296$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…578cbacked Under | 56c | 257$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbe…89c3backed Over | 44c | 249$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…010ebacked Under | 56c | 233$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…51bebacked Under | 56c | 205$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Under | 50c | 200.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…2efcbacked Under | 56c | 199$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cc…1edebacked Over | 44c | 189$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0c…228dbacked Over | 44c | 187$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881c…f1e5backed Over | 44c | 183$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 43c | 163.78$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb257…2492backed Over | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…7db3backed Over | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 29c | 157.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 45c | 150.31$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.29 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe5…4a89backed Over | 44c | 149$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945b…d197backed Over | 44c | 143$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5f…0b25backed Over | 44c | 141$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Under | 44c | 136.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.11 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Under | 49c | 128$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 26c | 127$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75df…63cabacked Over | 44c | 126$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3274…ec68backed Over | 44c | 124$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 48c | 120$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 44c | 113$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 63c | 110.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 54c | 104.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 55c | 102.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 45c | 93.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 45c | 91.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 90.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…2687backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 54c | 81.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 62c | 77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 42c | 70.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Over | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 44c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 68c | 42.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 63c | 41.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0fc8backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…394abacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 68c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27e2…2b82backed Under | 57c | 32.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…39b7backed Under | 43c | 31.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfda1…454fbacked Under | 43c | 31.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29aa…e4eabacked Under | 43c | 31.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x960c…4a4ebacked Under | 58c | 26.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…7593backed Under | 56c | 22.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…310abacked Over | 53c | 22.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…fb0bbacked Under | 60c | 22.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Under | 56c | 20.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a06…fcd4backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Blackhawks won
- Utah vs. BlackhawksBlackhawks won
- Utah vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Utah vs. Blackhawks: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.