NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a4d5ee2840d1902c42c72a51b692e4e1121b42f580162c6c970889aa6cb722a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,172 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.99 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 41c | 1,634$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.15 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 44c | 1,493$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.34 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 57c | 1,279$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.03 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 787.94$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.11 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Under | 44c | 690.91$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.91 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 42c | 460.1$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.41 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 58c | 459$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.61 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 43c | 441$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.37 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 55c | 440$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Over | 59c | 415.25$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 46c | 377$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.77 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 57c | 361$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.28 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 41c | 351$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Over | 57c | 257.14$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.43 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…7042backed Over | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 49c | 113.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 52c | 101.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306f…01c7backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 39c | 93.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…cd02backed Over | 57c | 93.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 58c | 66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…fc4cbacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 47.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 65c | 41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…310abacked Over | 68c | 34.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 44c | 33.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 32.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 66c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19cf…5636backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2449…3799backed Over | 56c | 29.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 76c | 27.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 59c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3871…94e8backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 66c | 17.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Blackhawks won
- Utah vs. BlackhawksBlackhawks won
- Utah vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Utah vs. Blackhawks: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.