Tennis · resolved market
Antalya 3: Alina Charaeva vs Lia Karatancheva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b003f769a068e388ef91e8029ce0fc54de1c9bffb3782cde96dc8632fb26730
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alina Charaevaof Alina Charaeva, Lia Karatancheva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,592 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lia Karatancheva | 7c | 6,661$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.99 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Lia Karatancheva | 1c | 4,160$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Lia Karatancheva | 24c | 3,915$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.71 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lia Karatancheva | 10c | 3,693$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.9 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Lia Karatancheva | 1c | 3,106$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…9742backed Alina Charaeva | 75c | 2,635$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.81 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lia Karatancheva | 9c | 2,381$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.38 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Lia Karatancheva | 22c | 1,700$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.92 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lia Karatancheva | 6c | 1,671$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.03 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Lia Karatancheva | 30c | 1,400$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Alina Charaeva | 72c | 1,291$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.3 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Lia Karatancheva | 21c | 1,095$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.03 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Lia Karatancheva | 19c | 777.2$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.67 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lia Karatancheva | 11c | 771.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Alina Charaeva | 77c | 749.03$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.78 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Lia Karatancheva | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lia Karatancheva | 22c | 608$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.59 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Alina Charaeva | 77c | 502.6$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Lia Karatancheva | 16c | 483.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Alina Charaeva | 74c | 409$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.34 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Alina Charaeva | 79c | 405.06$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.06 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca9…d946backed Lia Karatancheva | 37c | 361.78$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Lia Karatancheva | 23c | 356.97$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lia Karatancheva | 15c | 350.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Alina Charaeva | 77c | 301.48$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.35 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Alina Charaeva | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Lia Karatancheva | 23c | 201.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Lia Karatancheva | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lia Karatancheva | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Lia Karatancheva | 15c | 183.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Lia Karatancheva | 23c | 178.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 321 | 47%151 W · 170 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Lia Karatancheva | 20c | 177.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Alina Charaeva | 77c | 175.4$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lia Karatancheva | 27c | 167.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Lia Karatancheva | 18c | 147$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Lia Karatancheva | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Alina Charaeva | 70c | 142.16$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Lia Karatancheva | 18c | 141$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Lia Karatancheva | 21c | 140.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…71c6backed Alina Charaeva | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b0…02c6backed Lia Karatancheva | 11c | 128.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 80 | 7.5%6 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2818…04a2backed Alina Charaeva | 79c | 127.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Lia Karatancheva | 13c | 112.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 131 | 13.7%18 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Alina Charaeva | 76c | 106.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lia Karatancheva | 18c | 100.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Alina Charaeva | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Alina Charaeva | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Alina Charaeva | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Lia Karatancheva | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…5b2ebacked Alina Charaeva | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Lia Karatancheva | 23c | 60.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lia Karatancheva | 23c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Alina Charaeva | 76c | 53.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lia Karatancheva | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Lia Karatancheva | 27c | 43.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x960c…4a4ebacked Lia Karatancheva | 24c | 43.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Alina Charaeva | 76c | 39.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 172 | 62.8%108 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…644abacked Alina Charaeva | 78c | 37.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 161 | 75.2%121 W · 40 L | +20.4wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alina Charaeva | 63c | 27.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Alina Charaeva | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Alina Charaeva | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 336 | 51.5%173 W · 163 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bf…3d48backed Alina Charaeva | 71c | 19.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…3138backed Alina Charaeva | 73c | 16.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -32%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Alina Charaeva | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.