Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Colgate Raiders (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62a62ed1c4399efd239c1ee745dcbfb615aa9f77c2764bf30ac6c5ea6e931546
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Terriersof Colgate Raiders, Boston Terriers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Boston Terriers | 53c | 1,764$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Colgate Raiders | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Colgate Raiders | 51c | 905.11$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Colgate Raiders | 47c | 370$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.9 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Boston Terriers | 53c | 370$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.9 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Boston Terriers | 49c | 360.22$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.54 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…a251backed Boston Terriers | 51c | 254.6$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Boston Terriers | 52c | 229$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.92 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Boston Terriers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Colgate Raiders | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Boston Terriers | 52c | 160$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Colgate Raiders | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Boston Terriers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b9…9ab5backed Colgate Raiders | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…f103backed Colgate Raiders | 49c | 66.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…32c9backed Colgate Raiders | 49c | 63.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4888…f20bbacked Colgate Raiders | 49c | 62.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1e…8107backed Colgate Raiders | 49c | 62.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Colgate Raiders | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Boston Terriers | 52c | 47.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…06b3backed Boston Terriers | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Colgate Raiders (-2.5)this page
- Colgate Raiders vs. Boston TerriersBoston Terriers won
- Colgate Raiders vs. Boston Terriers: O/U 143.5Under won
- Colgate Raiders vs. Boston Terriers: O/U 144.5Under won
- Spread: Colgate Raiders (-1.5)Boston Terriers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.