Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Colgate Raiders vs. Boston Terriers: O/U 143.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad6d5ae3d42e5ef4c1e9014ae30ee704e50adcd926576ebda2a41754ec9945ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 55c | 1,339$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.18 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4387…2b3dbacked Over | 53c | 671.99$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 55c | 670$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.5 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 47c | 271.73$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.42 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 50c | 117.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 48c | 110.77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 106.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 94.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 46c | 68.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed Over | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…ada4backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -10.2wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 57.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3189…b449backed Under | 46c | 55.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25e7…51d6backed Over | 55c | 52.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colgate Raiders vs. Boston Terriers: O/U 143.5this page
- Colgate Raiders vs. Boston TerriersBoston Terriers won
- Colgate Raiders vs. Boston Terriers: O/U 144.5Under won
- Spread: Colgate Raiders (-1.5)Boston Terriers won
- Spread: Colgate Raiders (-2.5)Boston Terriers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.