Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Drexel Dragons (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x660d3512c000cd6559e569f97ee7d0e3a6c621c88c6e8e84f15042f0845b0bdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monmouth Hawksof Drexel Dragons, Monmouth Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Drexel Dragons | 54c | 10,000$5,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,380 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Monmouth Hawks | 46c | 8,000$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Monmouth Hawks | 48c | 5,152$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685.94 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Drexel Dragons | 51c | 2,183$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.13 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Drexel Dragons | 50c | 991.31$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Monmouth Hawks | 49c | 949$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.58 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Drexel Dragons | 51c | 874.18$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.18 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Monmouth Hawks | 49c | 736.5$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.5 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Drexel Dragons | 53c | 320.56$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.9 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Drexel Dragons | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Drexel Dragons | 52c | 188.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0d…78a5backed Drexel Dragons | 52c | 116.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Monmouth Hawks | 49c | 112.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Monmouth Hawks | 49c | 111.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Monmouth Hawks | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Drexel Dragons | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Monmouth Hawks | 52c | 95.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Drexel Dragons | 49c | 94.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b9…9ab5backed Drexel Dragons | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Drexel Dragons | 54c | 92.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Monmouth Hawks | 48c | 88.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Drexel Dragons | 50c | 83.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Monmouth Hawks | 48c | 68.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Monmouth Hawks | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Drexel Dragons | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Monmouth Hawks | 54c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Drexel Dragons | 48c | 29.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Drexel Dragons | 53c | 28.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Monmouth Hawks | 47c | 21.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Monmouth Hawks | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Drexel Dragons | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Drexel Dragons (-1.5)this page
- Monmouth Hawks vs. Drexel DragonsMonmouth Hawks won
- Monmouth Hawks vs. Drexel Dragons: O/U 131.5Over won
- Monmouth Hawks vs. Drexel Dragons: O/U 132.5Over won
- Monmouth Hawks vs. Drexel Dragons: O/U 133.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.