Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Florida Atlantic Owls (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56796292006ae31b37b8396f02629d04f238087cc9b86621a126aff21cfda4a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Atlantic Owlsof Florida Atlantic Owls, Temple Owls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,697 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Temple Owls | 52c | 5,120$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,653.07 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 48c | 2,607$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.65 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Temple Owls | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 51c | 1,571$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.33 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Temple Owls | 54c | 643.65$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.96 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 47c | 597.43$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.65 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Temple Owls | 42c | 353.87$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.73 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 53c | 350.97$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.79 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 46c | 345.04$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.32 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 57c | 278.94$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.05 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Temple Owls | 47c | 241.39$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.16 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 49c | 201.11$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 48c | 182.39$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.94 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 48c | 115.41$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Temple Owls | 53c | 101.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.61 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Temple Owls | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Temple Owls | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Temple Owls | 54c | 80.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 48c | 78.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 48c | 73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…d1c9backed Temple Owls | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 51c | 57.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 48c | 52.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 48c | 51.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 48c | 41.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 48c | 41.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 48c | 41.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 48c | 41.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4868…c8d1backed Temple Owls | 60c | 41.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 73c | 40.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 51c | 38.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Temple Owls | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 48c | 37.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 54c | 32.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Temple Owls | 50c | 32.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b9…9ab5backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 48c | 27.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Temple Owls | 48c | 24.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 48c | 21.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Florida Atlantic Owls (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Temple Owls (-1.5)Florida Atlantic Owls won
- Temple Owls vs. Florida Atlantic OwlsFlorida Atlantic Owls won
- Temple Owls vs. Florida Atlantic Owls: O/U 144.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.