Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: George Mason Patriots (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79f2d7ff80e64ceb5191f0a9f5589b2235b263fda2cefba7404829ef13b92f0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Bonaventure Bonniesof George Mason Patriots, St. Bonaventure Bonnies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,972 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked George Mason Patriots | 48c | 4,005$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.78 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 52c | 3,300$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed George Mason Patriots | 46c | 2,395$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.74 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.4 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 52c | 693.88$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.06 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 53c | 594.19$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.22 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…e31bbacked George Mason Patriots | 2c | 465.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 52c | 363.72$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.91 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 52c | 346.18$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.64 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked George Mason Patriots | 59c | 307.59$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.24 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 52c | 214.05$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.67 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed George Mason Patriots | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed George Mason Patriots | 46c | 201.85$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.85 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed George Mason Patriots | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 51c | 122.45$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked George Mason Patriots | 49c | 121.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed George Mason Patriots | 51c | 112.41$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x640a…14fabacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 56c | 107.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed George Mason Patriots | 50c | 103.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 52c | 100.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked George Mason Patriots | 51c | 95.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 49c | 90.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 50c | 90.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 52c | 78.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 54c | 55.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 49c | 40.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 64c | 37.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…ef96backed George Mason Patriots | 51c | 36.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 52c | 32.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked George Mason Patriots | 51c | 32.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b9…9ab5backed George Mason Patriots | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 60c | 28.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 51c | 23.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 52c | 19.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: George Mason Patriots (-3.5)this page
- St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Mason PatriotsSt. Bonaventure Bonnies won
- St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Mason Patriots: O/U 143.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.