Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Mason Patriots: O/U 143.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0d53836f3d0688985c00d1e346030dba84027ca4ca3ecd293856a339d51efbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,468 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 55c | 3,750$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.49 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 2,183$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.92 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 2,139$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.83 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Over | 47c | 876.31$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.87 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Over | 45c | 874.22$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.75 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b61…b7eabacked Over | 44c | 548.86$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 44c | 349.13$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.62 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 45c | 204.32$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Over | 46c | 150.85$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +7.0wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 44c | 146.68$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 44c | 112.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Over | 44c | 99.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 53c | 94.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277c…e529backed Over | 45c | 89.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 45c | 77.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Over | 44c | 74.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Over | 47c | 63.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 47c | 60.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 56c | 60.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…fc49backed Under | 78c | 50.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…1869backed Over | 45c | 46.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Over | 45c | 44.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…384abacked Under | 55c | 30.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Over | 44c | 29.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 44c | 24.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Mason Patriots: O/U 143.5this page
- Spread: George Mason Patriots (-3.5)St. Bonaventure Bonnies won
- St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Mason PatriotsSt. Bonaventure Bonnies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.