Euroleague · resolved market
Joventut vs. Unicaja
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf8d289b9ed8c040c5d26ff833116645502390298ff89476f814696f402df00b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joventutof Joventut, Unicaja
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Unicaja | 32c | 15,275$4,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,902.57 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Joventut | 67c | 14,862$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,862.23 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Unicaja | 45c | 2,827$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.19 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Unicaja | 11c | 1,725$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.57 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482f…7504backed Joventut | 79c | 1,259$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -58%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Unicaja | 42c | 717.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…a8e1backed Unicaja | 8c | 272.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Unicaja | 23c | 258.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Joventut | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Joventut | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Unicaja | 16c | 181.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd65c…9a48backed Joventut | 58c | 171.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b9…9ab5backed Joventut | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ae…e76bbacked Unicaja | 30c | 149.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Joventut | 63c | 119$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Joventut | 63c | 119$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Joventut | 58c | 107$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Unicaja | 41c | 105.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Joventut | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Joventut | 55c | 81.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Joventut | 58c | 63.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Joventut | 64c | 62.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Joventut | 54c | 55.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Joventut | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Joventut | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Joventut | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Joventut | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Joventut | 77c | 44.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Unicaja | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Joventut | 63c | 42.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Unicaja | 34c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b3…d3debacked Joventut | 55c | 37.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Joventut | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a9…7c4ebacked Joventut | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Joventut | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Joventut | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Joventut | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.