Euroleague · resolved market
Burgos vs. Real Madrid
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1eb32094fd343dfdabb91a58088abb35a8382515e51e946c22964d83468e787
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madridof Burgos, Real Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Burgos | 23c | 7,396$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.27 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…146abacked Real Madrid | 76c | 6,549$4,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.61 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Real Madrid | 76c | 2,586$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.62 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Burgos | 10c | 2,189$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.31 | 86 | 11.6%10 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Burgos | 16c | 1,785$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.12 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Burgos | 22c | 1,642$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.33 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Burgos | 13c | 974.92$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.57 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Burgos | 25c | 678.5$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.32 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Real Madrid | 76c | 633.93$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.54 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…7debbacked Real Madrid | 73c | 512.1$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.59 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Burgos | 5c | 477.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Burgos | 24c | 449.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Burgos | 4c | 440$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Burgos | 28c | 365.56$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.18 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Burgos | 23c | 350.42$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Burgos | 10c | 336.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Burgos | 22c | 335$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bb…f8b9backed Real Madrid | 75c | 253.85$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Burgos | 15c | 236.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Real Madrid | 74c | 196.88$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Real Madrid | 77c | 192.63$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…52c9backed Burgos | 10c | 160.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Burgos | 10c | 160.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe378…148ebacked Real Madrid | 80c | 157.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234d…a48dbacked Burgos | 25c | 152.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…dd54backed Burgos | 25c | 148.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Burgos | 31c | 146.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ae…ce30backed Burgos | 26c | 145.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…fa17backed Real Madrid | 74c | 133.12$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Burgos | 25c | 132.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Burgos | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b9…9ab5backed Real Madrid | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…5e80backed Burgos | 29c | 99.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Burgos | 30c | 84.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Burgos | 32c | 75.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…3aa6backed Real Madrid | 74c | 66.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Burgos | 25c | 66.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…95dcbacked Real Madrid | 74c | 66.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…0d61backed Real Madrid | 73c | 53.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Real Madrid | 75c | 52.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Real Madrid | 79c | 50.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3780backed Real Madrid | 73c | 47.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ea…9d52backed Real Madrid | 74c | 46.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Real Madrid | 70c | 44.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…f5f4backed Real Madrid | 74c | 40.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac00…aac7backed Real Madrid | 68c | 36.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Real Madrid | 75c | 31.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Real Madrid | 73c | 19.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c25…c31fbacked Real Madrid | 78c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.