Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
William & Mary Tribe vs. Campbell Fighting Camels: O/U 168.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e71fa46c4d6a2d6f4c485ae6239b7b554741e98a57828337c2a2e8e18142f01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 51c | 30,074$15,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,287.15 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 49c | 24,379$11,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,482.65 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Over | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 49c | 5,940$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.2 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Under | 49c | 4,956$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.7 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 50c | 2,999$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.42 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 50c | 2,914$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.08 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 1,877$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.97 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.9 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 49c | 895.19$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.55 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 48c | 517.05$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.86 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 48c | 446.52$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.19 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 408.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.24 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 50c | 319.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.6 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 47c | 210.19$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.5 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 48c | 206.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 49c | 203.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.47 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…f968backed Over | 51c | 199.7$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 48c | 199.04$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe71e…8e58backed Over | 53c | 187.02$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 186.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.25 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 48c | 180.41$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 51c | 130.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 47c | 128.87$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Under | 51c | 109.28$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 48c | 103.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 53c | 102.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 99.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Over | 51c | 98.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b9…9ab5backed Under | 54c | 91.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 86.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 49c | 85.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Over | 51c | 81.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Over | 51c | 80.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Over | 50c | 78.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Over | 51c | 70.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 57.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 49c | 56.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 48c | 41.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 49c | 40.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Over | 51c | 29.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 47c | 29.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Over | 52c | 21.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- William & Mary Tribe vs. Campbell Fighting Camels: O/U 168.5this page
- Spread: William & Mary Tribe (-1.5)Campbell Fighting Camels won
- William & Mary Tribe vs. Campbell Fighting CamelsCampbell Fighting Camels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.