South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd752fa28fa9f7e7604ed1798ca5cae8d43b295e23ae4f7760be2c8e39120fd21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 62c | 2,139$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.83 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 1,132$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.15 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d4…fe34backed Yes | 37c | 1,109$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.48 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 736.91$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.52 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 40c | 475$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes | 37c | 382.65$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.58 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 63c | 324$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.06 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…c8a3backed Yes | 31c | 302.32$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 67c | 302.24$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.76 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 15c | 239.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 38c | 236$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.68 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 37c | 228.57$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…43b2backed Yes | 39c | 224.79$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 36c | 194.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 10c | 149.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Yes | 36c | 147.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 67c | 146.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x318e…fc89backed Yes | 14c | 143.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f6…663fbacked Yes | 40c | 124.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…fa63backed Yes | 39c | 115.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 10c | 109.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6911backed Yes | 35c | 104.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed No | 62c | 101.35$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 39c | 101.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked Yes | 39c | 94.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ee…de82backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 31c | 90.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 77.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 22c | 66.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed No | 75c | 61.73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed Yes | 34c | 58.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c0…df7fbacked Yes | 20c | 56.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 69c | 54.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 37c | 53.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc99e…74abbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba4…1528backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 61c | 49.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfd…5277backed No | 66c | 46.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +317%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6e…c21abacked Yes | 35c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 41.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…febdbacked No | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 65c | 39.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89db…d0efbacked No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…fc98backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 74c | 22.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed No | 65c | 19.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-06?this page
- Will CD Universidad Católica vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.