South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2fbb137201cc3ee94532f4c623ac76b8aedfe14d74b02c60633472a1e5754bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 2,287$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.08 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 2,140$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.42 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed No | 70c | 1,428$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.02 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 29c | 1,285$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Yes | 32c | 1,143$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…ab1bbacked Yes | 25c | 770.23$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 560.14$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.05 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Yes | 19c | 549.09$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.84 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 29c | 410.3$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.1 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 75c | 317.23$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 26c | 300$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 58c | 287.1$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.01 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 11c | 263.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 246.38$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Yes | 25c | 205.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed No | 70c | 184.4$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…7959backed Yes | 30c | 161.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 65c | 153.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 65c | 146.18$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 9c | 139.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 68c | 135.08$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 42c | 129.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 74c | 120.35$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 25c | 119.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 69c | 115.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 74c | 110$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 28c | 103.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked Yes | 24c | 101.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 100.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 30c | 97.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33a…a018backed Yes | 33c | 92.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 30c | 90.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 44c | 90.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed No | 76c | 85.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 25c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 36c | 80.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 73.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f5…4807backed Yes | 26c | 72.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…1b08backed No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…dc4ebacked Yes | 24c | 70.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9300…d0f0backed Yes | 32c | 66.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 68c | 59.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 58.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7127…8f49backed No | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 26c | 50.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…a6c0backed Yes | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…2451backed Yes | 31c | 47.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…311fbacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 28c | 45.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 66c | 43.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 79c | 41.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 70c | 37.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed Yes | 30c | 36.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 30c | 34.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Yes | 38c | 34.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 79c | 33.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…287ebacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed Yes | 51c | 29.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 68c | 21.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 69c | 20.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4b94backed No | 75c | 17.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed No | 78c | 16.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-06?this page
- Will CD Universidad Católica vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.