South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Universidad Católica vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad799613dfc60801047dedeee3bb3f8a3d581e99b9e8cc1f0ce96c5525a8ab4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 45c | 2,141$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.23 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 2c | 1,138$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 73c | 655.56$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.01 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 32c | 626.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.58 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 596.43$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.37 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 68c | 412.36$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.85 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 25c | 406.85$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked No | 35c | 304.82$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 60c | 301.1$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.82 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Yes | 45c | 223$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 45c | 199.93$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 10c | 195.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 182.69$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.05 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 55c | 173.09$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.59 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed No | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 139.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 38c | 129.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 44c | 127.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 19c | 118.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 41c | 116.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 73c | 116.25$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…f642backed No | 58c | 84.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 32c | 61.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 39c | 61.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 47c | 59.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 37c | 54.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 76c | 54.32$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…52adbacked Yes | 31c | 53.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 54c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 68c | 49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 32c | 48.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 69c | 44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 31c | 41.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…1faebacked Yes | 58c | 39.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 71c | 31.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…e356backed Yes | 63c | 30.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…6c94backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 58c | 25.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…a34bbacked No | 70c | 23.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 72c | 16.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f2…3badbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Universidad Católica vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-06?No won
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.