South American Leagues · resolved market
LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66104ae7f401decf75859c20a03375d034ac6add79d434a5a674381bcbdb9862
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 50c | 3,504$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.04 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 38c | 3,096$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 50c | 2,936$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.79 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b7…125cbacked Over | 5c | 1,801$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 1,690$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.65 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9659…1ba2backed Under | 38c | 1,339$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 53c | 1,327$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.2 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…09aebacked Over | 80c | 1,235$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5155…7b9fbacked Under | 38c | 1,008$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 20c | 952$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1384…2c75backed Under | 39c | 620.79$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Under | 52c | 540.24$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.42 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 50c | 445.86$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.93 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 39c | 419.91$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.46 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 315.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.26 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 259.77$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.64 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Over | 20c | 254.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Under | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.69 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…8151backed Over | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 55c | 194.58$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.85 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 50c | 193.39$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.01 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 58c | 193.37$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.56 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 49c | 154.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed Over | 56c | 139.24$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dd…cdaebacked Under | 45c | 113.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 61c | 99.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1eb…9d42backed Under | 26c | 95.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a24…36ddbacked Under | 30c | 68.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 43c | 59.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 49c | 52.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 68c | 47.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 36c | 47.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 53c | 45.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 56c | 43.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 64c | 38.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Under | 53c | 38.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Under | 59c | 36.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 62 | 74.2%46 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Under | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 57c | 32.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 57c | 28.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6911backed Under | 43c | 26.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…37e6backed Over | 61c | 24.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 52c | 20.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 80c | 18.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5this page
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: LDU de Quito (-1.5)LDU de Quito won
- Spread: LDU de Quito (-2.5)Mirassol FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.