Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 144.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ca692178446c96c2f8969cb6fb41c0c194de645504bd62922e1808ad365b1ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 52c | 10,207$5,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,309.05 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 3,948$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.1 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Under | 53c | 3,729$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.07 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 2,484$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.57 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 48c | 1,312$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.24 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Under | 78c | 811.46$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 25c | 369$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.75 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 319$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.69 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Under | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Over | 30c | 274.16$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.3 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Over | 50c | 209.66$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Under | 67c | 170.71$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.58 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 33c | 156.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.7 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Over | 50c | 153.9$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 222 | 50.9%113 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 49c | 132.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 119$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.69 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 101.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 51c | 47.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 48c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 26c | 46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northwestern Wildcats vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 144.5this page
- Northwestern Wildcats vs. Rutgers Scarlet KnightsRutgers Scarlet Knights won
- Northwestern Wildcats vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 143.5Over won
- Spread: Northwestern Wildcats (-4.5)Rutgers Scarlet Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.