Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Northwestern Wildcats (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92596bc1645ab327ed2d204d7a643c5db62b6b0aa9e6a2308ad678af3f17d861
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rutgers Scarlet Knightsof Northwestern Wildcats, Rutgers Scarlet Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 52c | 4,900$2,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,372.49 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 48c | 2,300$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.29 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Northwestern Wildcats | 50c | 1,180$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 48c | 974.87$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.32 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Northwestern Wildcats | 50c | 428.8$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.4 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Northwestern Wildcats | 51c | 375$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Northwestern Wildcats | 49c | 346.94$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 51c | 346.94$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 50c | 204$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 50c | 203$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Northwestern Wildcats | 56c | 179.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northwestern Wildcats | 48c | 100.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Northwestern Wildcats | 47c | 76.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 49c | 60.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Northwestern Wildcats | 50c | 51.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 222 | 50.9%113 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Northwestern Wildcats | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 51c | 45.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 50c | 38.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…6899backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 56c | 19.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Northwestern Wildcats (-4.5)this page
- Northwestern Wildcats vs. Rutgers Scarlet KnightsRutgers Scarlet Knights won
- Northwestern Wildcats vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 143.5Over won
- Northwestern Wildcats vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 144.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.