Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x442b30436ef71b5e6e8576badea8e6664994da700364776451ce9b1bf6f14a23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x584e…090fbacked Yes | 57c | 1,668$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.6 | 478 | 34.3%164 W · 314 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a8…12eabacked Yes | 79c | 1,123$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.81 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed No | 1c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 240 | 10%24 W · 216 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 51c | 962.06$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.44 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 67c | 835.25$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.01 | 591 | 21.5%127 W · 464 L | -30.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 41c | 468.05$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.12 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…9464backed Yes | 55c | 464.22$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.44 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9e…154abacked No | 48c | 448.42$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…8da8backed No | 3c | 441.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5621…c8a4backed No | 3c | 439.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8903…dc8bbacked No | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 34c | 367.68$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.77 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 39c | 298.98$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.11 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 43c | 293.91$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.71 | 172 | 43.6%75 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 64c | 279.16$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5742…5e12backed Yes | 48c | 216.66$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddd…b092backed Yes | 56c | 215.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 55c | 211.13$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.66 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…cdc0backed No | 47c | 193.19$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.54 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 60c | 184.66$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 34c | 180.39$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.72 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 52c | 180.05$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.23 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0d…9f26backed Yes | 30c | 164.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +308%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…1ccdbacked Yes | 43c | 163.21$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.43 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…8c6bbacked Yes | 25c | 149.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.49 | 105 | 31.4%33 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd5…cf27backed Yes | 48c | 149.78$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.32 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 33c | 147.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.92 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff5…5237backed Yes | 57c | 141.93$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…fa86backed No | 58c | 140.72$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 39c | 139.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d7…def8backed Yes | 63c | 129.17$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Yes | 48c | 127.28$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2742…1f7abacked Yes | 45c | 123.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +17.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 71c | 119.38$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…e4c5backed Yes | 70c | 118.57$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 52c | 117.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe630…76f9backed Yes | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef0f…1dc9backed Yes | 42c | 110$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Yes | 74c | 109.01$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79ed…1619backed No | 62c | 106.4$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe17d…bfb5backed Yes | 37c | 102.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fc…c6aabacked No | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed No | 30c | 99.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe170…3c0bbacked No | 70c | 94.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa387…3aadbacked No | 73c | 88.3$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef5e…7bb7backed Yes | 39c | 83.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…d0b7backed Yes | 37c | 83.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 296 | 42.9%127 W · 169 L | +19.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…c127backed Yes | 51c | 83.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 45c | 82.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…6197backed Yes | 61c | 78.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf309…08a8backed Yes | 38c | 77.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 46c | 76.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa301…b4efbacked No | 40c | 72.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97bf…b669backed Yes | 45c | 71.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 38c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,110 | 65%722 W · 388 L | +38.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…5845backed Yes | 48c | 67.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…b671backed Yes | 70c | 67.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed No | 74c | 67.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…2b7ebacked Yes | 52c | 63.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…90b7backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b5…1948backed No | 50c | 59.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a91…983fbacked No | 69c | 58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 46c | 56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 250 | 29.2%73 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 54c | 55.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…846fbacked Yes | 63c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bf…5892backed Yes | 30c | 50.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e7…bda3backed No | 72c | 50.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcca1…f08bbacked Yes | 43c | 50.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c4…46d8backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…9239backed No | 67c | 48.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked No | 54c | 47.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 263 | 39.9%105 W · 158 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0967…0c60backed No | 51c | 47.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 59c | 46.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…a612backed No | 56c | 46.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79eb…9c72backed Yes | 58c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ce…e90bbacked Yes | 75c | 45.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…5b2ebacked Yes | 34c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…ab15backed Yes | 69c | 44.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2872…59c3backed No | 58c | 42.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…085ebacked Yes | 33c | 39.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 219 | 19.6%43 W · 176 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Yes | 59c | 38.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 330 | 58.8%194 W · 136 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3950…e272backed Yes | 58c | 38.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 39c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 45c | 37.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…a603backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…a41bbacked Yes | 64c | 36.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +140.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…3c17backed Yes | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6f…aa0cbacked Yes | 38c | 34.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Yes | 57c | 33.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…ade1backed No | 53c | 32.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 283 | 29.3%83 W · 200 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7e…78b1backed No | 69c | 32.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 164 | 65.2%107 W · 57 L | +18.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf57d…f322backed Yes | 53c | 31.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 255 | 19.2%49 W · 206 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef03…1fbfbacked No | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 52c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…c66dbacked Yes | 34c | 29.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…b920backed Yes | 37c | 29.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 180 | 35%63 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb422…b749backed No | 70c | 28.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C or higher on February 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on February 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.