South American Leagues · resolved market
Carabobo FC vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8823706370cc34d568147402ea38125645eba707ed6dcec29e2f0d0e7149b9fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 5,762$2,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.25 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 1,988$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.82 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 51c | 1,427$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.94 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 56c | 999.55$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.75 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 35c | 973$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.84 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 942.82$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.3 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 59c | 845.69$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.34 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 47c | 686.44$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.75 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 73c | 544.44$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 38c | 417.46$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.02 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Under | 50c | 344$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 50c | 344$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 33c | 299.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -9.0wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf67f…3a24backed Over | 66c | 286.29$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 61c | 280$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.9 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 69c | 250$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.9 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 37c | 234.87$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.96 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 47c | 214.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.24 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 58c | 205.55$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.22 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 60c | 189.77$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.63 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked Over | 52c | 170$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 58c | 170$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.29 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Over | 63c | 122.49$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 56c | 119.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 33c | 111.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.13 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 52c | 96.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 51c | 89.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 40c | 83.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 66c | 51.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Under | 41c | 50.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 66c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 51c | 40.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 34c | 39.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 34.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over | 59c | 33.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 65c | 32.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 58c | 29.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 63c | 27.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287f…3c11backed Over | 71c | 27.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 57c | 26.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 54c | 25.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -8.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee70…7e8abacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16d3…426ebacked Over | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Carabobo FC vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 1.5this page
- Carabobo FC vs. CD Huachipato: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Carabobo FC vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 2.5Under won
- Carabobo FC vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.