Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57904df50a95e45528f02749b551376789ee15e72221bb5c5e66135b9f3cb836
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9d…06b0backed Yes | 14c | 5,002$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.87 | 187 | 27.3%51 W · 136 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd109…94f9backed No | 61c | 3,500$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…d89cbacked Yes | 39c | 3,500$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 240 | 10%24 W · 216 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 46c | 1,468$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.33 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…8da8backed Yes | 3c | 1,292$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b8…50b5backed No | 53c | 796.03$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 28c | 783.34$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.14 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…090fbacked Yes | 26c | 736.64$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.93 | 478 | 34.3%164 W · 314 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 64c | 691.42$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.05 | 172 | 43.6%75 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 56c | 589.14$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.72 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…8c6bbacked Yes | 31c | 500.74$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.82 | 105 | 31.4%33 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 3c | 434.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 352 | 32.7%115 W · 237 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed No | 66c | 419.54$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.23 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…cdc0backed Yes | 59c | 413.4$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.14 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…e6b5backed Yes | 28c | 376.49$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.85 | 81 | 76.5%62 W · 19 L | +14.7wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +39%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 57c | 308.16$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.33 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed No | 42c | 299.98$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 241 | 49.8%120 W · 121 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe921…6a6dbacked Yes | 51c | 299.42$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.7 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -48%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 27c | 289.17$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6624…3b00backed Yes | 25c | 238.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab3…3bf5backed Yes | 5c | 231.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 32c | 230.79$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2420…109bbacked Yes | 25c | 225.45$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…0861backed Yes | 30c | 223.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 247 | 10.5%26 W · 221 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe170…3c0bbacked Yes | 46c | 217.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0518…6876backed No | 47c | 216.75$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.29 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…fa86backed Yes | 34c | 215.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97bf…b669backed Yes | 57c | 214.55$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.65 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…2d50backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 7c | 199.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 50c | 199.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…6197backed Yes | 25c | 190.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed Yes | 45c | 182.25$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.59 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1192…634cbacked Yes | 57c | 175.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 68c | 174.15$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f24…94f9backed Yes | 33c | 167.77$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f8…af3fbacked Yes | 29c | 160.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e63…e468backed No | 66c | 150.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a2…242abacked Yes | 67c | 149.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Yes | 33c | 136.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 9c | 130$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd5…cf27backed Yes | 55c | 121.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa874…1eebbacked No | 61c | 114.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…6732backed Yes | 36c | 111.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…5845backed Yes | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed No | 41c | 109.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.75 | 137 | 65.7%90 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 62c | 106.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.85 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 11c | 104.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa301…b4efbacked No | 69c | 103.75$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…c535backed Yes | 60c | 100.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 50c | 100.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x383c…d1b8backed Yes | 39c | 100.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…7fbcbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…a612backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc81…e072backed No | 43c | 93.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Yes | 57c | 90.19$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8091…3178backed Yes | 19c | 86.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 42c | 82.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca1…f08bbacked Yes | 30c | 82.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x988e…bd82backed No | 41c | 80.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf911…8d8ebacked No | 66c | 76.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…1ccdbacked Yes | 39c | 75.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 35c | 71.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7e…78b1backed Yes | 59c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 164 | 65.2%107 W · 57 L | +18.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…3942backed Yes | 24c | 66.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…a603backed Yes | 37c | 66.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 22c | 65.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 22c | 63.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 250 | 29.2%73 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 46c | 62.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x34fe…4a5bbacked Yes | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…fdbabacked No | 56c | 57.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 30c | 57.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed No | 60c | 57.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 45c | 57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 27c | 56.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 65c | 54.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 1,110 | 65%722 W · 388 L | +38.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 21c | 54.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9231…b267backed No | 75c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca0…63b4backed Yes | 28c | 50.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57d…f322backed Yes | 49c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 255 | 19.2%49 W · 206 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed No | 40c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…2b7ebacked Yes | 40c | 42.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…d0b7backed Yes | 34c | 42.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 296 | 42.9%127 W · 169 L | +19.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x871b…e68fbacked Yes | 34c | 42.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 57c | 40.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…085ebacked Yes | 26c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 219 | 19.6%43 W · 176 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…7980backed Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f9…a6ecbacked Yes | 51c | 39.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0943…ca76backed Yes | 33c | 39.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…6561backed Yes | 32c | 38.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf309…08a8backed Yes | 64c | 37.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c4…46d8backed Yes | 55c | 36.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…ade1backed No | 69c | 35.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 283 | 29.3%83 W · 200 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…98a3backed No | 45c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fc…3c2dbacked Yes | 53c | 31.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0967…0c60backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba1…ac85backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 11?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C or higher on February 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on February 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.