Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02fa97065f0aaff8ff0007c28d082937688cb23bec068eb43f92de7512df3d6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 6,656$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.53 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed PARIVISION | 80c | 5,256$4,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.73 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 76c | 3,561$2,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.15 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 3,314$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.91 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 3,286$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.93 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 2,582$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.93 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 2,133$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.4 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Nigma Galaxy | 3c | 2,085$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PARIVISION | 76c | 1,931$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.15 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Nigma Galaxy | 14c | 1,721$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.45 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed Nigma Galaxy | 12c | 1,662$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.25 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 1,580$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.89 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed PARIVISION | 73c | 1,535$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.85 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed PARIVISION | 74c | 1,491$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.61 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed PARIVISION | 72c | 1,475$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.94 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 1,298$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.65 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 77c | 1,284$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.1 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 1,210$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.22 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 1,166$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.9 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 876.33$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.1 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 875.81$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.29 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 874.62$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.56 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed PARIVISION | 71c | 863.77$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.04 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 862.36$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.59 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed PARIVISION | 76c | 860.62$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.68 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 845.01$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.71 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed PARIVISION | 71c | 786.08$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.96 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 780$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 775.69$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.19 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 750.83$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.79 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 714$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed PARIVISION | 76c | 639.51$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.48 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed PARIVISION | 71c | 623.37$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.05 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 77c | 604.34$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.08 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PARIVISION | 73c | 580.03$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.53 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed PARIVISION | 78c | 561.48$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.96 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 553$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.31 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed PARIVISION | 73c | 544.04$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.89 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 536.52$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.95 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 507.82$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.27 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Nigma Galaxy | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 469$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.01 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf20…3e67backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 467.52$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed PARIVISION | 70c | 449.28$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.13 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa203…63c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 436.26$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.31 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed PARIVISION | 75c | 427.55$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.08 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 416.31$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 414.4$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.31 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 9c | 409.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 400.13$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…2a0dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 394.54$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6d61backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 353.79$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked PARIVISION | 72c | 341.37$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked PARIVISION | 79c | 337.3$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.64 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x823f…6ca3backed Nigma Galaxy | 8c | 333.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4514…4c39backed Nigma Galaxy | 13c | 284.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed PARIVISION | 67c | 271.51$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.52 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e3…e46dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed PARIVISION | 73c | 240$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 238.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed PARIVISION | 75c | 231.75$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 212.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 211.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed PARIVISION | 76c | 206.42$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed PARIVISION | 74c | 196.92$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed PARIVISION | 72c | 196.64$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 195.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 194.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 167.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 158$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…abedbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed PARIVISION | 72c | 140.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked PARIVISION | 71c | 138.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -6.5wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed PARIVISION | 71c | 138.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 129.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked PARIVISION | 72c | 125$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 120.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 117.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8693…ebd0backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 103.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 103.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…8b63backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 103$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 101.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 100.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed PARIVISION | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 99.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…1084backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 98.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 98.31$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 97.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b9…1f57backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 97.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed PARIVISION | 68c | 96.38$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…a5cfbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 96.3$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked PARIVISION | 72c | 89.32$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 88.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 78.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 71.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.