Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69a39995574bbaa7989ca16182e826308603c161f4a4f3b960a25c26cd8671fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed PARIVISION | 74c | 11,824$8,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,037.19 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 74c | 6,614$4,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.32 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 5,682$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.87 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 4,133$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.46 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 4,000$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PARIVISION | 73c | 3,839$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.85 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 3,284$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.04 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 2,485$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.72 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 2,447$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.19 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29b9…1f57backed Nigma Galaxy | 2c | 2,064$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 2,032$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.45 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 1,838$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.8 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 1,734$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.94 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed PARIVISION | 74c | 1,720$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.97 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed PARIVISION | 73c | 1,719$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.01 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 1,682$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.62 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 1,646$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.44 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 1,295$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.73 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION | 80c | 1,281$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.79 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 1,259$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.45 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 1,249$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.14 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 1,103$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.68 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed PARIVISION | 72c | 1,000$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.16 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Nigma Galaxy | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 995.93$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.35 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 955.6$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.46 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 932.53$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.48 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 815.6$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.9 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 749.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 12c | 735.71$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.29 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed PARIVISION | 74c | 663.14$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.42 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 660.97$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.09 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 632.65$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.04 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 607.31$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.96 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Nigma Galaxy | 12c | 570$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed Nigma Galaxy | 5c | 521.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +14.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 502.86$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked PARIVISION | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 478.1$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.09 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 400.64$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 395.18$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.75 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed PARIVISION | 72c | 391$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.54 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 8c | 376.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 365.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed PARIVISION | 77c | 357.03$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 342.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.67 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked PARIVISION | 74c | 339.34$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.23 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 337.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 330.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.34 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…f645backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 312.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.46 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 307.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 291.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 255.94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 254.46$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 244.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 228.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 199.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked PARIVISION | 73c | 198.58$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 188.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 170.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 168.35$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 159.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Nigma Galaxy | 8c | 155$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 154.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Nigma Galaxy | 8c | 137$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 134.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 132.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 128.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 109.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed PARIVISION | 74c | 108.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 107.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed PARIVISION | 77c | 99.23$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed PARIVISION | 79c | 97.75$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 96.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 95.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 91.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…e248backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 91.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 86.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 72.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 67.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 395 | 59%233 W · 162 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 63.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 61.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 59.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed PARIVISION | 74c | 59.06$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed PARIVISION | 77c | 55.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed PARIVISION | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…ae74backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 45.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed PARIVISION | 78c | 37.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 229 | 61.1%140 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…aa94backed PARIVISION | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed PARIVISION | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…b61cbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 28.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…c57abacked PARIVISION | 74c | 26.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed PARIVISION | 75c | 26.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.