Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b1b6e40118a10ccff328f37f2758232d54237d79d46ad2ef6282d5abd65d98c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 4,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 1,530$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.6 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 1,516$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.45 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 1,299$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.71 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Nigma Galaxy | 2c | 1,223$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 1,169$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.49 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 1,056$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.16 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed Nigma Galaxy | 10c | 1,053$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +14.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 974.09$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.34 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Nigma Galaxy | 14c | 948.08$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.11 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 937.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.96 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 912.06$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.05 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 699.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 677.71$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.47 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 586.49$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.57 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 524.87$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.23 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Nigma Galaxy | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb57…32dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 499.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 413.34$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.27 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed PARIVISION | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 382.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.93 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 8c | 354.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 350.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…bfa2backed Nigma Galaxy | 9c | 319.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 285.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…7d3cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 9c | 269.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 264.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf5…606bbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c9…aa73backed Nigma Galaxy | 9c | 226.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce9…e3e2backed Nigma Galaxy | 6c | 218.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 205.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd3…79ccbacked Nigma Galaxy | 14c | 199.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 6c | 182.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Nigma Galaxy | 9c | 172.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nigma Galaxy | 8c | 145.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 12c | 143.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Nigma Galaxy | 7c | 142.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…3096backed Nigma Galaxy | 10c | 129.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f9…5a03backed Nigma Galaxy | 10c | 113.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…f645backed Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 113.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Nigma Galaxy | 12c | 107.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed PARIVISION | 80c | 107.14$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 105.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…68a7backed Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Nigma Galaxy | 12c | 99.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…8a5cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 97.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 14c | 95.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 95.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b15…83d2backed Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 90.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 85.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked PARIVISION | 78c | 82.85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…192ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 82.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b9…1f57backed Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 81.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…b153backed PARIVISION | 80c | 73.4$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 59.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 59.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 15.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.