Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75496638a299c6a934a95c49f9295c0a5c5d9412fd4be9bcb9bcd9a29eeff58f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemiga Gamingof Power Rangers, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 6,641$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,235.49 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Power Rangers | 62c | 6,050$3,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,745.48 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Power Rangers | 54c | 6,011$3,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,216.19 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Power Rangers | 72c | 3,848$2,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.1 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Power Rangers | 56c | 2,500$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.82 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 2,494$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.37 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 2,428$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.92 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 2,428$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.36 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 1,546$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.51 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…05d6backed Power Rangers | 20c | 995.61$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.12 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Power Rangers | 65c | 973.8$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.92 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Power Rangers | 51c | 888.13$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.36 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Power Rangers | 62c | 650$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Power Rangers | 11c | 546.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Power Rangers | 20c | 527.53$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.09 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 514.04$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.35 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Power Rangers | 10c | 503$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 494.4$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.41 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Power Rangers | 64c | 458.63$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.52 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Power Rangers | 8c | 450$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 390.82$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.91 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 301.28$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.95 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Power Rangers | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10d5…dc17backed Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 227.45$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 73 | 76.7%56 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 227.04$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.31 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 220.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.58 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Power Rangers | 11c | 187$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 174.66$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.36 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Power Rangers | 18c | 169.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 168.87$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.9 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Power Rangers | 46c | 147.05$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Power Rangers | 34c | 140.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 130$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Power Rangers | 26c | 123$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Power Rangers | 57c | 98.8$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Power Rangers | 42c | 57.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Power Rangers | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 52.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Power Rangers | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Power Rangers | 30c | 47.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…677dbacked Power Rangers | 67c | 36.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Nemiga Gaming | 77c | 33.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Power Rangers | 64c | 31.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 30.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Power Rangers | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 24.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Power Rangers | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Power Rangers | 64c | 19.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86a…644dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 80c | 18.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsNemiga Gaming won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.