Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4377fe7b8187284a097a7549dd18786d457160e4b66d15d3fb6d30127ba8604
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FunPlus Phoenixof TYLOO, FunPlus Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed TYLOO | 42c | 3,676$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.1 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 58c | 1,910$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.67 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed FunPlus Phoenix | 58c | 1,235$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.85 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed TYLOO | 41c | 982.92$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FunPlus Phoenix | 58c | 887.9$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.92 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed FunPlus Phoenix | 60c | 803.52$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.41 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed FunPlus Phoenix | 59c | 494.29$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.66 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed FunPlus Phoenix | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed TYLOO | 40c | 245$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ca…bc47backed TYLOO | 40c | 242.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked FunPlus Phoenix | 66c | 230.79$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.42 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked TYLOO | 20c | 230.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked FunPlus Phoenix | 59c | 192.54$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 59c | 181.55$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FunPlus Phoenix | 57c | 167.76$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.65 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…a814backed TYLOO | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed TYLOO | 37c | 147.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 403 | 45.9%185 W · 218 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310f…36a8backed TYLOO | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed FunPlus Phoenix | 72c | 130$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 494 | 55.3%273 W · 221 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e27…5f33backed TYLOO | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed FunPlus Phoenix | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…c45dbacked TYLOO | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed TYLOO | 42c | 83.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 936 | 49.3%461 W · 475 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FunPlus Phoenix | 63c | 72.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 672 | 50.6%340 W · 332 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked TYLOO | 43c | 68.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked TYLOO | 41c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed FunPlus Phoenix | 59c | 62.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…7c9dbacked TYLOO | 42c | 58.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed TYLOO | 37c | 50.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3b51backed TYLOO | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked TYLOO | 42c | 42.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed FunPlus Phoenix | 58c | 17.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-2.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+2.5)FunPlus Phoenix won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FPX (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)TYLOO won
- Valorant: TYLOO vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group AlphaTYLOO won
- Valorant: TYLOO vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 1 WinnerFunPlus Phoenix won
- Valorant: TYLOO vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 2 WinnerTYLOO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.