TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,583
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,192

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,583 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ae3…d88abacked Over3c7,000$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+733.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over66c1,205$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under45c1,111$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.352,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c8…a814backed Over44c682.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under36c413.8$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.445,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcea…545bbacked Under68c292.66$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.831275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under53c247.85$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.494062.5%25 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked Under27c174.07$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.07728.3%6 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-46%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under43c101.34$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.422,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xece5…6de0backed Over58c63$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.47560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under17c60.24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over65c59.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3912750.4%64 W · 63 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5e…c32abacked Over69c57.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under54c46.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4824851.6%128 W · 120 L+8.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Over43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152544%11 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over50c24.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.092352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under73c15.37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1955954.9%307 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.