Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Celtic FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96326ba3588b21721eb7533b914443fe0f4fa03bda89c9f61f1a341eadd41f3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dundee FCof Celtic FC, Dundee FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Celtic FC | 41c | 5,889$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.91 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Dundee FC | 59c | 5,291$3,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked Dundee FC | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Dundee FC | 64c | 4,011$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.53 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtic FC | 37c | 2,503$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.42 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Celtic FC | 23c | 2,007$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.35 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Celtic FC | 39c | 1,923$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.97 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed Celtic FC | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Celtic FC | 39c | 915.74$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.14 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Dundee FC | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Dundee FC | 61c | 451.23$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.98 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Dundee FC | 79c | 336.55$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…a899backed Celtic FC | 47c | 319.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x212d…5023backed Celtic FC | 37c | 310$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Celtic FC | 40c | 228.53$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.35 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Celtic FC | 39c | 212.61$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.92 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Dundee FC | 58c | 201.75$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Dundee FC | 79c | 195.02$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Celtic FC | 39c | 170.94$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Celtic FC | 44c | 170$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Celtic FC | 38c | 153.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Celtic FC | 29c | 140.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Celtic FC | 36c | 131.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Celtic FC | 28c | 95.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Celtic FC | 41c | 87.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Celtic FC | 36c | 85.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Dundee FC | 58c | 73.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Dundee FC | 55c | 69.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Celtic FC | 36c | 63.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Celtic FC | 36c | 63.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Celtic FC | 40c | 53.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Celtic FC | 38c | 53.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +12.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Celtic FC | 36c | 50.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Dundee FC | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Celtic FC | 39c | 43.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Dundee FC | 57c | 42.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Dundee FC | 54c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Celtic FC | 28c | 36.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Celtic FC | 37c | 28.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dundee FC | 77c | 26.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Dundee FC | 76c | 24.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Dundee FC | 56c | 22.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…a0aabacked Dundee FC | 67c | 22.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Dundee FC | 77c | 21.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtic FC (-2.5)this page
- Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: Celtic FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: Celtic FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: Dundee FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: Dundee FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: Dundee FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)Dundee FC won
- Spread: Dundee FC (-1.5)Celtic FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.