Other European Leagues · resolved market
Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83dcc5a0573f33a48324f7a91a0fdfd3a5826eb4425818c7f0bd7e796bfe1622
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef04…f6e3backed Under | 0c | 17,389$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 6c | 3,152$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.59 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 7c | 3,133$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.49 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 4c | 1,357$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 2c | 1,104$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 2c | 999.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 2c | 950$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 9c | 851.48$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 2c | 825.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 5c | 806.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Under | 2c | 707.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 9c | 508.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Under | 4c | 392.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 12c | 384.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 9c | 198.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: O/U 0.5this page
- Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: Celtic FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: Celtic FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: Dundee FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: Dundee FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: Dundee FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)Dundee FC won
- Spread: Celtic FC (-2.5)Dundee FC won
- Spread: Dundee FC (-1.5)Celtic FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.