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Valorant · resolved market

Map Handicap: BBL (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pcific Esportsof BBL Esports, Pcific Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,637
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,472

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,637 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed BBL Esports60c5,000$3,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,004.352455.2%289 W · 235 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Pcific Esports40c4,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.9826838.1%102 W · 166 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked Pcific Esports39c3,589$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189.163767.6%25 W · 12 L+6.1wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+32.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x13c8…a814backed BBL Esports61c2,623$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6002536%9 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Pcific Esports38c1,474$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.5929255.8%163 W · 129 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b17…d36dbacked BBL Esports62c1,435$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8901931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-47.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Pcific Esports40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6005244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Pcific Esports40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30028740.8%117 W · 170 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe896…a4c7backed BBL Esports60c498.33$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2995650%28 W · 28 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed BBL Esports61c345.92$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.0118149.7%90 W · 91 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Pcific Esports41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17724457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked BBL Esports59c273.55$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.886841.2%28 W · 40 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x197f…7cc5backed BBL Esports60c266.67$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1607949.4%39 W · 40 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed BBL Esports63c260$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.825555.7%142 W · 113 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Pcific Esports37c243.44$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.3726450%132 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed BBL Esports63c238.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15023563.4%149 W · 86 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed BBL Esports60c233.33$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14028056.4%158 W · 122 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eba…0f3abacked Pcific Esports40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12019951.8%103 W · 96 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked BBL Esports61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008254.9%45 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed BBL Esports59c97.5$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5828352.3%148 W · 135 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed BBL Esports59c85.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.426150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1273…8eddbacked Pcific Esports40c81.9$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.146662.1%41 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd31a…28f5backed BBL Esports60c69.03$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4210052%52 W · 48 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcece…ffeebacked Pcific Esports41c59.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.261540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Pcific Esports37c57.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1263948%307 W · 332 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b7…3798backed BBL Esports61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019052.6%100 W · 90 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked BBL Esports60c32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed BBL Esports63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.33per pick55cpaid-56.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Pcific Esports37c27.56$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3667250.6%340 W · 332 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eab…2caabacked Pcific Esports40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152878.6%22 W · 6 L+6.5wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+45.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x194b…2a11backed Pcific Esports40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151978.9%15 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+47.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.