TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: BBL Esports vs Pcific Esports - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pcific Esportsof BBL Esports, Pcific Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$195,704
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$219,207

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,704 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Pcific Esports26c38,500$10,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,49024145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed BBL Esports74c26,668$19,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,733.996643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b1d…76a0backed Pcific Esports39c10,764$4,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,619.481060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+39%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb496…1f45backed Pcific Esports33c6,030$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,042.192055%11 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+39.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed BBL Esports54c5,437$2,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,943.9240945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed BBL Esports73c4,976$3,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,635.6653159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed BBL Esports61c4,911$2,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,996.0518457.1%105 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BBL Esports48c4,500$2,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,153.7568458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked BBL Esports74c4,423$3,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,267.0265559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed Pcific Esports49c3,962$1,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.5413355.6%74 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed BBL Esports64c3,500$2,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,248.5411354%61 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed BBL Esports44c3,454$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.9593049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed BBL Esports1c2,312$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.124932.7%16 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa05e…4394backed BBL Esports59c2,100$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed BBL Esports43c1,843$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.1356357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bb4…87b5backed Pcific Esports65c1,261$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed BBL Esports50c1,235$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.5939646%182 W · 214 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked BBL Esports20c1,215$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.959151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Pcific Esports25c999.98$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.9839042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe896…a4c7backed Pcific Esports54c927.95$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.955650%28 W · 28 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Pcific Esports22c888.14$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.5932047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed BBL Esports75c789.36$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.025464.8%35 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Pcific Esports74c744.29$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.2250944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed Pcific Esports44c716$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.969046.7%42 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed BBL Esports76c677.16$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.0246347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked BBL Esports29c670$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.041,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Pcific Esports66c599.97$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.9914645.2%66 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Pcific Esports60c497.31$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.5753355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Pcific Esports27c400$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29222449.1%110 W · 114 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked BBL Esports75c397$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.776647%31 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x499f…b72bbacked Pcific Esports28c364.29$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.593348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x829e…339cbacked BBL Esports3c354.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Pcific Esports22c341.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.7521055.2%116 W · 94 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4087…048bbacked BBL Esports34c324$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.161464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+83.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed BBL Esports44c268$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1981134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a18…dac8backed BBL Esports76c263.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008055%44 W · 36 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x899c…81b0backed BBL Esports66c247.41$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.292254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed Pcific Esports26c242.31$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.3136145.7%165 W · 196 L+22.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5440…f13bbacked BBL Esports70c239.5$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.675653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d7…bbf6backed BBL Esports48c235.46$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.381560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Pcific Esports59c228.87$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2294361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BBL Esports75c222.63$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.2993148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed BBL Esports47c210.49$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6160022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Pcific Esports41c209.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.1370043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Pcific Esports37c202.6$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.6520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-46%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x197f…7cc5backed BBL Esports38c197.37$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757749.4%38 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked Pcific Esports44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8427850%139 W · 139 L+21.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked BBL Esports55c146.88$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9738950.6%197 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe40a…76fabacked BBL Esports70c143.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.96352.4%33 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid+1.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked Pcific Esports51c134.77$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.043839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked BBL Esports47c132.67$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.051,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked BBL Esports47c130.31$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8790733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed BBL Esports28c128$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.691,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked BBL Esports66c127.5$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7578562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf71e…917bbacked Pcific Esports80c125.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.446867.6%46 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Pcific Esports47c123.64$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.611,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda07…62a0backed Pcific Esports74c123.03$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.17650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed BBL Esports29c120$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.327847.1%131 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed BBL Esports74c120$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.88481%68 W · 16 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick69cpaid+17.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd09f…521abacked Pcific Esports33c115.45$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.453740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50ab…70a2backed BBL Esports49c111.22$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559540%38 W · 57 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked BBL Esports52c102.97$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.471,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked BBL Esports25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3831227.6%86 W · 226 L-33.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed Pcific Esports25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7511042.7%47 W · 63 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Pcific Esports45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.538548.6%187 W · 198 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec7…4a76backed BBL Esports46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6414959.7%89 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Pcific Esports26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9251948.4%251 W · 268 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc62f…2958backed Pcific Esports65c75.5$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.344961.2%30 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed BBL Esports28c74.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.521641.7%90 W · 126 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Pcific Esports22c68.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6341734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc815…ecfabacked BBL Esports73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016452.4%86 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2292…8adfbacked Pcific Esports65c63.49$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.523161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed BBL Esports33c60.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.889737.1%36 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed BBL Esports69c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.432152.6%169 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked BBL Esports34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e45…4b13backed BBL Esports70c57.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404065%26 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick73cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3de…e9bdbacked Pcific Esports27c55.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d26…f4f8backed Pcific Esports36c54.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8712335.8%44 W · 79 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+1.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cef…dbcbbacked BBL Esports57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020347.3%96 W · 107 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87dd…a331backed Pcific Esports73c51.69$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.932250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92df…7a08backed BBL Esports69c50.72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510151.5%52 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae4…9b8fbacked BBL Esports62c50.41$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4710348.5%50 W · 53 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Pcific Esports26c43.1$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8357151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7889…ee1ebacked BBL Esports70c42.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e89…2e8ebacked Pcific Esports72c41.49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.49425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-65.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed BBL Esports36c38.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7621454.2%116 W · 98 L+0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed BBL Esports75c37.97$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.481145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6db…25c3backed Pcific Esports35c37.43$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.433342.4%14 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked BBL Esports75c32.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6235142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x345c…b59dbacked BBL Esports77c32.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.992060%12 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed BBL Esports36c30.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1128151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked BBL Esports71c28.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027360.1%164 W · 109 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa144…fc6cbacked BBL Esports59c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Pcific Esports77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.977959.5%47 W · 32 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked BBL Esports59c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1534954.7%191 W · 158 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed BBL Esports72c21.94$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.839166%258 W · 133 L+24.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf156…792abacked Pcific Esports74c20.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed BBL Esports73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.616963.3%107 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca5…0cd6backed BBL Esports75c19.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4967…340bbacked Pcific Esports80c17.54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.557064.3%45 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.