Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: AG (-1.5) vs TEC Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86a26fda6f1ab4f3475e8fe4f7a4b53080773f2403fea4c3da70c21799861094
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- All Gamersof All Gamers, TEC Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed TEC Esports | 55c | 1,339$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.43 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8112…1e6fbacked All Gamers | 44c | 1,321$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.76 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked TEC Esports | 30c | 1,110$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.76 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked TEC Esports | 59c | 1,009$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.88 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed All Gamers | 69c | 966.69$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.7 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked All Gamers | 41c | 814.51$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.56 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked All Gamers | 58c | 682.24$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.56 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…faeabacked TEC Esports | 55c | 552.73$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed All Gamers | 46c | 501$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.54 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked TEC Esports | 55c | 493.27$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.3 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…a814backed All Gamers | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf408…afe0backed All Gamers | 45c | 462.85$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed TEC Esports | 58c | 454$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.6 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed All Gamers | 44c | 344.93$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.79 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked TEC Esports | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…cfc5backed All Gamers | 43c | 297.67$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked All Gamers | 54c | 272.81$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.21 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed TEC Esports | 58c | 267.29$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.84 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed All Gamers | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed TEC Esports | 53c | 245.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -7.2wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked TEC Esports | 36c | 229.52$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked All Gamers | 45c | 222.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.21 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked TEC Esports | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed All Gamers | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x310f…36a8backed TEC Esports | 58c | 155.17$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed All Gamers | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed All Gamers | 46c | 124.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked All Gamers | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 258 | 43%111 W · 147 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed All Gamers | 38c | 105.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed TEC Esports | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked TEC Esports | 52c | 98.63$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafff…e85fbacked TEC Esports | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed All Gamers | 45c | 96.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed8…2c70backed All Gamers | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…d0dbbacked TEC Esports | 58c | 83.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked TEC Esports | 57c | 82.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed All Gamers | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed TEC Esports | 55c | 73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -8.4wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed All Gamers | 46c | 69.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked TEC Esports | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed TEC Esports | 53c | 61.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380f…8229backed TEC Esports | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed All Gamers | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed All Gamers | 49c | 47.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed TEC Esports | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac77…4009backed All Gamers | 46c | 39.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed TEC Esports | 44c | 37.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed TEC Esports | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed All Gamers | 71c | 31.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed All Gamers | 44c | 29.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: AG (-1.5) vs TEC Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-3.5) vs TEC Esports (+3.5)TEC Esports won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-3.5) vs TEC Esports (+3.5)All Gamers won
- Valorant: TEC Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group OmegaAll Gamers won
- Valorant: TEC Esports vs All Gamers - Map 1 WinnerAll Gamers won
- Valorant: TEC Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerAll Gamers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.