CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ARCRED (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bf85da097db93e784836f6e8f0b8e3967d57b0f42a3cca189e28c74c36e81d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ARCREDof CYBERSHOKE Esports, ARCRED
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13c8…a814backed ARCRED | 55c | 1,266$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.56 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 41c | 928.69$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.31 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…0038backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 53c | 647.62$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ARCRED | 66c | 627.27$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.54 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2764…ec08backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 54c | 621.4$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 36c | 561.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed ARCRED | 75c | 459.4$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.64 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ARCRED | 62c | 445.42$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.76 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.43 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed ARCRED | 75c | 266.88$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…a065backed ARCRED | 34c | 248.76$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.48 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef30…e949backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 28c | 230.16$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 40c | 142.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…473ebacked ARCRED | 25c | 104.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.12 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4d…6211backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 39c | 91.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 180 | 37.8%68 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…b387backed ARCRED | 61c | 81.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 29c | 69.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 35c | 64.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked ARCRED | 50c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 56c | 55.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 30c | 50.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 392 | 58.2%228 W · 164 L | +18.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…0242backed ARCRED | 54c | 42.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa4…1211backed ARCRED | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed ARCRED | 37c | 33.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 62c | 19.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…a4a8backed ARCRED | 76c | 16.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ARCRED (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ARCRED - Map 2 WinnerARCRED won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.