TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$229,107
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$258,236

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,107 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0eb3…97cfbacked No10c11,790$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.566412.5%8 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa20a…b7b3backed No12c8,867$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.76862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Yes76c4,287$3,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.742416.7%4 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-77.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaf97…2cb3backed No45c3,723$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,673.25742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No41c3,718$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.775240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No35c3,704$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.495,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No31c3,572$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.382,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes79c3,509$2,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.741241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes62c3,370$2,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.341,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed Yes51c3,183$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.166735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked Yes74c2,787$2,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.946251.6%32 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes77c2,713$2,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.0612434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Yes56c2,623$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.046232.3%20 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed No20c2,441$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.210128.7%29 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes31c2,289$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.4149136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked No47c2,050$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.517925.3%20 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes29c2,050$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.0238233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No14c1,860$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.341,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Yes49c1,851$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.589920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes38c1,810$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.0628940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No68c1,600$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.9820846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked No2c1,530$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.68833%29 W · 59 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No8c1,483$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.11,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No43c1,411$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.726835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Yes61c1,303$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.142152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked No27c1,277$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.115042%21 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c1,265$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.791,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No6c1,044$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9895155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed No69c1,013$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.889551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No69c962.55$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.231,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6739…132cbacked Yes59c960.36$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.193836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No7c959.4$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.142,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No69c952.29$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.081,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No17c865.42$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.841,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No20c758.86$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.641,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No12c753.42$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9636339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No10c747.4$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2221640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Yes55c727.26$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.277723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No12c695.74$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5216641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No4c665$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.229710.3%10 W · 87 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-72.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No10c663.54$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2237540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed No48c638.88$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.942544%11 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed No43c603.44$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.848746%40 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No17c586$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3989846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Yes53c566.03$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0310649.1%52 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes75c500$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.35547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12512737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6797…e0e5backed Yes63c492.06$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.062564%16 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked No37c487.06$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.217742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed No8c483.18$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.23745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed No23c472.22$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10915625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8817…cda8backed No31c467.69$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.214831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-51.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No10c460.14$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1212740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Yes55c420.03$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.013129%9 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+287.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f6…e517backed Yes56c405.7$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.516753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed No13c402.93$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.076142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Yes50c396.07$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.073438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff0b…31e5backed Yes68c357$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39e4…f089backed Yes31c342$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.682737%10 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed No14c321.05$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.954436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No8c262.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4385220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No10c257$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.819437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No68c255.54$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.842,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No20c255.31$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0729047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes62c251.16$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.167048.6%34 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.53756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No24c223.41$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1442946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed No11c221.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.389641.7%40 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde24…2b2fbacked No37c203.83$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.422751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No36c203$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0822145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No13c201.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2619050.5%96 W · 94 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No41c199$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.831,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed No48c192.31$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3117051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed No14c185$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.96744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No25c175$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2530847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.414450%22 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No9c170.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.872058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No71c140$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.414643.2%63 W · 83 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked No25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.44339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed No38c112.08$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.592321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697814.1%11 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3b…07c9backed No18c98.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.831040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd1d…6f23backed Yes33c90.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.912748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa249…08b6backed Yes56c87.71$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.593138.7%12 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+37.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.974182.9%34 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes54c80.06$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.83862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Yes31c80$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.215554.2%84 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed No48c79.11$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.587454.1%40 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No69c78.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.312,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked Yes59c77.95$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.963959%23 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes68c74.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0751945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes55c72.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.454346.5%20 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+46.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No71c63.92$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3817951.4%92 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.715143%65 W · 86 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe632…1d8bbacked Yes31c59.74$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa058…69debacked Yes65c53.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.85988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick65cpaid+39.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c78…c49fbacked Yes58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.721650%8 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb344…31eabacked Yes61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.18366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed No30c45.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.595141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d6b…aaa3backed Yes56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.645234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.