South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Internacional vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f79ccc03a27a9f115e42e385807c085ce16c2eefd6376b6ff527026508cf353
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 16c | 2,136$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.17 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,706$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 29c | 1,546$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.4 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 13c | 1,231$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.23 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb341…88e7backed No | 71c | 635$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 16c | 583.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked No | 71c | 562$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.98 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 4c | 356$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 348.76$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.63 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yes | 11c | 211.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 27c | 191.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c1…017ebacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Yes | 28c | 93.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 84.75$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 72c | 32.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…1b08backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 25.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 16.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Internacional vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?this page
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-22?Yes won
- Will SC Internacional win on 2026-07-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.